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This paper considers an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations, when data are missing at random. The efficiency of existing estimators depends critically on correctly specifying the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Tianqing Liu , Xiaohui Yuan , Zhaohai Li , Aiyi Liu

Inferring parameters of models of biochemical kinetics from single-cell data remains challenging because of the uncertainty arising from the intractability of the likelihood function of stochastic reaction networks. Such uncertainty falls…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Zekai Li , Mauricio Barahona , Philipp Thomas

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now a well established method for performing approximate Bayesian parameter estimation for simulation-based models that do not possess a tractable likelihood function. BSL approximates an intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-04 Ziwen An , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi

We present a class of models that, via a simple construction, enables exact, incremental, non-parametric, polynomial-time, Bayesian inference of conditional measures. The approach relies upon creating a sequence of covers on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-05-31 Christos Dimitrakakis

The recent paper \cite{GSZ2023} on estimation and inference for top-ranking problem in Bradley-Terry-Lice (BTL) model presented a surprising result: component-wise estimation and inference can be done under much weaker conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

The empirical likelihood inference is extended to a class of semiparametric models for stationary, weakly dependent series. A partially linear single-index regression is used for the conditional mean of the series given its past, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Matthieu Marbac , Valentin Patilea

We propose a class of transformation hazard models for right-censored failure time data. It includes the proportional hazards model (Cox) and the additive hazards model (Lin and Ying) as special cases. Due to the requirement of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gousheng Yin , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) with partial likelihoods involving a latent structure often entail an intractable marginalization, thus making inference hard. We propose a novel approach to Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) involving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Amrith Setlur , Barnabás Póczós

Likelihood-based inferences have been remarkably successful in wide-spanning application areas. However, even after due diligence in selecting a good model for the data at hand, there is inevitably some amount of model misspecification:…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Miheer Dewaskar , Christopher Tosh , Jeremias Knoblauch , David B. Dunson

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

Pattern formation in biological tissues plays an important role in the development of living organisms. Since the classical work of Alan Turing, a pre-eminent way of modelling has been through reaction-diffusion mechanisms. More recently,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Alexey Kazarnikov , Robert Scheichl , Heikki Haario , Anna Marciniak-Czochra

Mathematical models are invaluable for understanding and predicting how biological systems behave, although their construction requires specifying mechanisms and relationships that are often not perfectly known. In the presence of multiple…

Given a set of moment restrictions (MRs) that overidentify a parameter $\theta$, we investigate a semiparametric Bayesian approach for inference on $\theta$ that does not restrict the data distribution $F$ apart from the MRs. As main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

We study the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for general latent-variable models under (i) distributional misspecification and (ii) nonidentifiability induced by a group action. We formulate EM on the quotient parameter space and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Koustav Mallik

The marginal likelihood or evidence in Bayesian statistics contains an intrinsic penalty for larger model sizes and is a fundamental quantity in Bayesian model comparison. Over the past two decades, there has been steadily increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Sean Plummer

In this paper, decision theory was used to derive Bayes and minimax decision rules to estimate allelic frequencies and to explore their admissibility. Decision rules with uniformly smallest risk usually do not exist and one approach to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-25 Carlos Alberto Martínez , Kshitij Khare , Mauricio A. Elzo

We introduce a new adjusted residual maximum likelihood method (REML) in the context of producing an empirical Bayes (EB) confidence interval for a normal mean, a problem of great interest in different small area applications. Like other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Masayo Yoshimori , Partha Lahiri

Assume we have potential "causes" $z\in Z$, which produce "events" $w$ with known probabilities $\beta(w|z)$. We observe $w_1,w_2,...,w_n$, what can we say about the distribution of the causes? A Bayesian estimate will assume a prior on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Hartmut Maennel