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The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We present theoretical and experimental results of L\'evy flights of light originating from a random walk of photons in a hot atomic vapor. In contrast to systems with quenched disorder, this system does not present any correlations between…

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

For a sequence in discrete time having stationary independent values (respectively, random walk) $X$, those random times $R$ of $X$ are characterized set-theoretically, for which the strict post-$R$ sequence (respectively, the process of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Matija Vidmar

Let $M_{l,n}$ be the number of blocks with frequency $l$ in the exchangeable random partition induced by a sample of size $n$ from the Ewens-Pitman sampling model. We show that, as $n$ tends to infinity, $n^{-1}M_{l,n}$ satisfies a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng

The big jump principle explains the emergence of extreme events for physical quantities modelled by a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables which are heavy-tailed. Extreme events are large values of the sum and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Marc Höll , Eli Barkai

We investigate the Large Deviation behavior in small time of continuous Gaussian processes. We introduce a general procedure allowing to derive Large Deviation Principles in small time starting from the well understood context of Large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Paolo Baldi , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We consider a random walk with a negative drift and with a jump distribution which under Cram\'er's change of measure belongs to the domain of attraction of a spectrally positive stable law. If conditioned to reach a high level and suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Sergey G. Foss , Anatolii A. Puhalskii

It is shown that statistics of records for time series generated by random walks are independent of the details of the jump distribution, as long as the latter is continuous and symmetric. In N steps, the mean of the record distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Robert M. Ziff

In this paper we prove a Large Deviation Principle for the sequence of symmetrised empirical measures $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \delta_{(X^n_i,X^n_{\sigma_n(i)})}$ where $\sigma_n$ is a random permutation and $((X_i^n)_{1 \leq i \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-13 José Trashorras

In this note, we consider random walks in the quarter plane with arbitrary big jumps. We announce the extension to that class of models of the analytic approach of [G. Fayolle, R. Iasnogorodski, and V. Malyshev, Random walks in the quarter…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-23 Guy Fayolle , Kilian Raschel

We consider a dynamic Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph (ERRG) on $n$ vertices in which each edge switches on at rate $\lambda$ and switches off at rate $\mu$, independently of other edges. The focus is on the analysis of the evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq 1$, where $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group ${\rm GL}(V)$ with $V=\mathbb R^d$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We analyze a class of linear partial differential equations that arise as deterministic descriptions of the scaling limits of L\'evy walks, in which transport is driven by a convex combination of fractional material derivatives and a source…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Łukasz Płociniczak , Marek A. Teuerle , Hubert Woszczek

We consider a ballistic random walk in an i.i.d. random environment that does not allow retreating in a certain fixed direction. Homogenization and regeneration techniques combine to prove a law of large numbers and an averaged invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 F. Rassoul-Agha , T. Seppalainen
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