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The purpose of these notes is to distribute, mostly without proofs, fundamental definitions and results concerning the theory of semimartingales and stochastic integration. The material serves as a foundational guide for those interested in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Mark van den Bosch

We propose a general framework for modeling multiple yield curves which have emerged after the last financial crisis. In a general semimartingale setting, we provide an HJM approach to model the term structure of multiplicative spreads…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-05 Christa Cuchiero , Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a time and path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We investigate exponential stock models driven by tempered stable processes, which constitute a rich family of purely discontinuous L\'{e}vy processes. With a view of option pricing, we provide a systematic analysis of the existence of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Uwe Küchler , Stefan Tappe

In this article, we introduce a conditional marginal model for longitudinal data, in which the residuals form a martingale difference sequence. This model allows us to consider a rich class of estimating equations, which contains several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-15 R. M. Balan , L. Dumitrescu , I. Schiopu-Kratina

We develop a martingale approximation framework yielding quantitative maximal large deviations estimates for invertible dynamical systems. From suitable decay of correlations, we deduce these estimates and, as an application, we obtain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-08 José F. Alves , João S. Matias , Ian Melbourne

The problem of existence of arbitrage free and monotone CDO term structure models is studied. Conditions for positivity and monotonicity of the corresponding Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela equation for the $x$-forward rates with the use of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-11 Michał Barski

In this article, we develop a semigroup-theoretic framework for the analytic characterisation of martingales with path-dependent terminal conditions. Our main result establishes that a measurable adapted process of the form \[ V(t) -…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Robert Denk , Markus Kunze , Michael Kupper

Under short sales prohibitions, no free lunch with vanishing risk (NFLVR-S) is known to be equivalent to the existence of an equivalent supermartingale measure for the price processes (Pulido [22]). For two given price processes, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-28 Delia Coculescu , Monique Jeanblanc

Let $\psi$ be a multi-dimensional random variable. We show that the set of probability measures $\mathbb{Q}$ such that the $\mathbb{Q}$-martingale $S^{\mathbb{Q}}_t=\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}\left[\psi\lvert\mathcal{F}_{t}\right]$ has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Dmitry Kramkov , Sergio Pulido

In this paper we introduce a new type of norms for semimartingales, under both linear and nonlinear expectations. Our norm is defined in the spirit of quasimartingales, and it characterizes square integrable semimartingales. This work is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Triet Pham , Jianfeng Zhang

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando

In this paper we give the decomposition of a martingale under the sublinear expectation associated with a $G$-L'evy process X with finite activity and without drift. We prove that such a martingale consists of an Ito integral w.r.t.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Krzysztof Paczka

We determine the minimal entropy martingale measure for a general class of stochastic volatility models where both price process and volatility process contain jump terms which are correlated. This generalizes previous studies which have…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Thorsten Rheinländer , Gallus Steiger

Structural estimation in economics often makes use of models formulated in terms of moment conditions. While these moment conditions are generally well-motivated, it is often unknown whether the moment restrictions hold exactly. We consider…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-06 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian B. Hansen , Lingwei Kong , Weining Wang

Let L be a countable language. We say that a countable infinite L-structure M admits an invariant measure when there is a probability measure on the space of L-structures with the same underlying set as M that is invariant under…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Nathanael Ackerman , Cameron Freer , Rehana Patel

We study constrained versions of the Ingleton inequality in the entropic setting and quantify its stability under small violations of conditional independence. Although the classical Ingleton inequality fails for general entropy profiles,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Rostislav Matveev , Andrei Romashchenko

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

The semimartingale stochastic approximation procedure, namely, the Robbins-Monro type SDE is introduced which naturally includes both generalized stochastic approximation algorithms with martingale noises and recursive parameter estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. Lazrieva , T. Sharia , T. Toronjadze

Discovery of dynamical systems from data forms the foundation for data-driven modeling and recently, structure-preserving geometric perspectives have been shown to provide improved forecasting, stability, and physical realizability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Kookjin Lee , Nathaniel Trask , Panos Stinis
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