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This article attempts to offer some perspectives on Bayesian inference for finite population quantities when the units in the population are assumed to exhibit complex dependencies. Beginning with an overview of Bayesian hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Sudipto Banerjee

Frequently one has to search within a finite population for a single particular individual or item with a rare characteristic. Whether an item possesses the characteristic can only be determined by close inspection. The availability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 André J. Hoogstrate , Chris A. J. Klaassen

In statistics education, the concept of population is widely felt hard to grasp, as a result of vague explanations in textbooks. Some textbook authors therefore chose not to mention it. This paper offers a new explanation by proposing a new…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-07 Yiping Cheng

In regression with random design, we study the problem of selecting a model that performs well for out-of-sample prediction. We do not assume that any of the candidate models under consideration are correct. Our analysis is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-10-24 Hannes Leeb

In this paper we introduce a new sampling algorithm which has the potential to be adopted as a universal replacement to the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm. It is related to the slice sampler, and motivated by an algorithm which is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-19 Yanxin Li , Stephen G. Walker

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given distribution, NOT based on the standard Metropolis (Markov chain) strategy. It uses the fact that nontrivial problems in statistical physics are high dimensional and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Grassberger

Selective classification, in which models can abstain on uncertain predictions, is a natural approach to improving accuracy in settings where errors are costly but abstentions are manageable. In this paper, we find that while selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Erik Jones , Shiori Sagawa , Pang Wei Koh , Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang

Standard neutral population genetics theory with a strictly fixed population size has important limitations. An alternative model that allows independently fluctuating population sizes and reproduces the standard neutral evolution is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-08 Thiparat Chotibut , David R. Nelson

Understanding the interplay between recombination and resampling is a significant challenge in mathematical population genetics and of great practical relevance. Asymptotic results about the distribution of samples when recombination is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Frederic Alberti

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

In most circumstances, probability sampling is the only way to ensure unbiased inference about population quantities where a complete census is not possible. As we enter the era of 'big data', however, nonprobability samples, whose sampling…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-18 Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Oliver L. Pescott

The asymptotic solution to the problem of comparing the means of two heteroscedastic populations, based on two random samples from the populations, hinges on the pivot underpinning the construction of the confidence interval and the test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Rajeshwari Majumdar , Suman Majumdar

This paper gives a holistic overview of both the design-based and model-based paradigms for sampling theory. Both methods are presented within a unified framework with a simple consistent notation, and the differences in the two paradigms…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Ben O'Neill

Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

Many statistical experiments involve comparing multiple population groups. For example, a public opinion poll may ask which of several political candidates commands the most support; a social scientific survey may report the most common of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-20 Kenneth Hung , William Fithian

The problem of estimating a proportion of objects with particular attribute in a finite population is considered. This paper shows an example of the application of estimation fraction using new proposed sample allocation in a population…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-19 Dominik Sieradzki , Wojciech Zieliński

The paper proposes some robust estimators of the finite population mean. Such estimators are particularly suitable in the presence of some outlying observations. Included as special cases of our general result are robust versions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Malay Ghosh

For high volume data streams and large data warehouses, sampling is used for efficient approximate answers to aggregate queries over selected subsets. Mathematically, we are dealing with a set of weighted items and want to support queries…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Mario Szegedy , Mikkel Thorup

Model-based Bayesian inference for sample and population-level causal estimands has been growing in popularity. This literature routinely emphasizes clear specification of the target estimand, however blind implementation of standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Arman Oganisian

Comparing concentration properties of uniform sampling with and without replacement has a long history which can be traced back to the pioneer work of Hoeffding (1963). The goal of this short note is to extend this comparison to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Anna Ben-Hamou , Yuval Peres , Justin Salez
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