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We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given (Gibbs-Boltzmann or other) distribution. It is {\it not} based on the Metropolis concept of establishing a Markov process whose stationary state is the wanted…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Grassberger , W. Nadler

In many applications, different populations are compared using data that are sampled in a biased manner. Under sampling biases, standard methods that estimate the difference between the population means yield unreliable inferences. Here we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Let $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ be a sample of $\mathrm{Pareto}(\alpha)$ random variables normalized by their sum, such that $\sum_i W_i=1$. The $W_i$ may represent the weights of valleys in a spin glass (if $0<\alpha<1$), or the frequency of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Hiro-Sato Niwa

In statistical research there usually exists a choice between structurally simpler or more complex models. We argue that, even if a more complex, locally stationary time series model were true, then a simple, stationary time series model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Tobias Kley , Philip Preuß , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Random copying is a simple model for population dynamics in the absence of selection, and has been applied to both biological and cultural evolution. In this work, we investigate the effect that spatial structure has on the dynamics. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-26 Richard A Blythe

A popular setting in medical statistics is a group sequential trial with independent and identically distributed normal outcomes, in which interim analyses of the sum of the outcomes are performed. Based on a prescribed stopping rule, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Ben Berckmoes , Anna Ivanova , Geert Molenberghs

In this paper, we develop an exact method for the determination of the minimum sample size for estimating the proportion of a finite population with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. By characterizing the behavior of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-03 Xinjia Chen

The paper aims at reconsidering the famous Le Cam LAN theory. The main features of the approach which make it different from the classical one are as follows: (1) the study is nonasymptotic, that is, the sample size is fixed and does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-06 Vladimir Spokoiny

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

In this paper, we construct a consistent non-parametric test for testing the equality of population medians for different samples when the observations in each sample are independent and identically distributed. This test can be further…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Swapnaneel Bhattacharyya

Sequential importance sampling algorithms have been defined to estimate likelihoods in models of ancestral population processes. However, these algorithms are based on features of the models with constant population size, and become…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Coralie Merle , Raphaël Leblois , François Rousset , Pierre Pudlo

For testing the statistical significance of a treatment effect, we usually compare between two parts of a population, one is exposed to the treatment, and the other is not exposed to it. Standard parametric and nonparametric two-sample…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Bikram Karmakar , Kumaresh Dhara , Kushal Kumar Dey , Analabha Basu , Anil Ghosh

When an advantageous mutation occurs in a population, the favorable allele may spread to the entire population in a short time, an event known as a selective sweep. As a result, when we sample $n$ individuals from a population and trace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rick Durrett , Jason Schweinsberg

We prove an analogue of the classical ballot theorem that holds for any random walk in the range of attraction of the normal distribution. Our result is best possible: we exhibit examples demonstrating that if any of our hypotheses are…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-28 L. Addario-Berry , B. A. Reed

Two-sample inference for the difference of population means typically relies upon a Central Limit Theorem approximation. When data are drawn from a Negative Binomial distribution, previous work of Shilane et al. (2010) showed that a Normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-06 David Shilane , Derek Bean

Epidemiologic screening programs often make use of tests with small, but non-zero probabilities of misdiagnosis. In this article, we assume the target population is finite with a fixed number of true cases, and that we apply an imperfect…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

There are two general views in causal analysis of experimental data: the super population view that the units are an independent sample from some hypothetical infinite populations, and the finite population view that the potential outcomes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Peng Ding , Xinran Li , Luke W. Miratrix

We consider the problem of integrating a small probability sample (ps) and a non-probability sample (nps). By definition, for the nps, there are no survey weights, but for the ps, there are survey weights. The key issue is that the nps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Balgobin Nandram , JNK Rao

Given samples from a distribution, how many new elements should we expect to find if we continue sampling this distribution? This is an important and actively studied problem, with many applications ranging from unseen species estimation to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Aditi Raghunathan , Greg Valiant , James Zou

Estimating the prevalence of a disease is necessary for evaluating and mitigating risks of its transmission within or between populations. Estimates that consider how prevalence changes with time provide more information about these risks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-12 Braden Scherting , Alison Peel , Raina Plowright , Andrew Hoegh