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Time-dependently driven stochastic systems form a vast and manifold class of non-equilibrium systems used to model important applications on small length scales such as bit erasure protocols or microscopic heat engines. One property that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-07 Julius Degünther , Timur Koyuk , Udo Seifert

The adiabatic quantum algorithm has drawn intense interest as a potential approach to accelerating optimization tasks using quantum computation. The algorithm is most naturally realised in systems which support Hamiltonian evolution, rather…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Liming Zhao , Carlos A. Perez-Delgado , Simon C. Benjamin , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

Country-level temporal panels are widely used in empirical analysis. Researchers often need to audit how different entities respond to historical signals over different time horizons. Current approaches typically do not provide directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Andi Xu

AI has the potential to transform scientific discovery by analyzing vast datasets with little human effort. However, current workflows often do not provide the accuracy or statistical guarantees that are needed. We introduce active…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Max Hamilton , Jinlin Lai , Wenlong Zhao , Subhransu Maji , Daniel Sheldon

Sampling from generative models has become a crucial tool for applications like data synthesis and augmentation. Diffusion, Flow Matching and Continuous Normalising Flows have shown effectiveness across various modalities, and rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Erik Bodin , Alexandru Stere , Dragos D. Margineantu , Carl Henrik Ek , Henry Moss

Postselected quantum computation is distinguished from regular quantum computation by accepting the output only if measurement outcomes satisfy predetermined conditions. The output must be accepted with nonzero probability. Methods for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Knill

The key feature for the successful implementation of the surrogate data test for nonlinearity on a scalar time series is the generation of surrogate data that represent exactly the null hypothesis (statically transformed normal stochastic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Kugiumtzis

We consider Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained. This occurs for example when complex simulator-based statistical models are fitted to data, and synthetic likelihood (SL) method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

We present a theory of modified reduced dynamics in the presence of counting fields. Reduced dynamics techniques are useful for describing open quantum systems at long emergent timescales when the memory timescales are short. However, they…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-24 Felix A. Pollock , Emanuel Gull , K. Modi , Guy Cohen

The latent class model is a widely used mixture model for multivariate discrete data. Besides the existence of qualitatively heterogeneous latent classes, real data often exhibit additional quantitative heterogeneity nested within each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Zhongyuan Lyu , Ling Chen , Yuqi Gu

Log analysis is one of the main techniques that engineers use for troubleshooting large-scale software systems. Over the years, many supervised, semi-supervised, and unsupervised log analysis methods have been proposed to detect system…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Yongzheng Xie , Hongyu Zhang , Muhammad Ali Babar

The hidden-variable question is whether or not various properties --- randomness or correlation, for example --- that are observed in the outcomes of an experiment can be explained via introduction of extra (hidden) variables which are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-23 Adam Brandenburger , H. Jerome Keisler

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

Compressed sensing is a technique for recovering an unknown sparse signal from a small number of linear measurements. When the measurement matrix is random, the number of measurements required for perfect recovery exhibits a phase…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Mateo Díaz , Mauricio Junca , Felipe Rincón , Mauricio Velasco

When labeled data is insufficient, semi-supervised learning with the pseudo-labeling technique can significantly improve the performance of automatic speech recognition. However, pseudo-labels are often noisy, containing numerous incorrect…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Han Zhu , Dongji Gao , Gaofeng Cheng , Daniel Povey , Pengyuan Zhang , Yonghong Yan

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-29 Ariel Kleiner , Ameet Talwalkar , Purnamrita Sarkar , Michael I. Jordan

While LLMs have seen substantial improvement in reasoning capabilities, they also sometimes overthink, generating unnecessary reasoning steps, particularly under uncertainty, given ill-posed or ambiguous queries. We introduce statistically…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yangxinyu Xie , Tao Wang , Soham Mallick , Yan Sun , Georgy Noarov , Mengxin Yu , Tanwi Mallick , Weijie J. Su , Edgar Dobriban

Reasoning models improve their problem-solving ability through inference-time scaling, allocating more compute via longer token budgets. Identifying which reasoning traces are likely to succeed remains a key opportunity: reliably predicting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Martina G. Vilas , Safoora Yousefi , Besmira Nushi , Eric Horvitz , Vidhisha Balachandran

Large Language Models (LLMs) often generate responses that are factually incorrect yet expressed with high confidence, which can pose serious risks for end users. To address this, it is essential for LLMs not only to produce answers but…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Thuy An Ha , Bao Quoc Vo

Training modern large language models (LLMs) has become a veritable smorgasbord of algorithms and datasets designed to elicit particular behaviors, making it critical to develop techniques to understand the effects of datasets on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Ishaq Aden-Ali , Noah Golowich , Allen Liu , Abhishek Shetty , Ankur Moitra , Nika Haghtalab
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