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In this paper we propose a new approach to the central limit theorem (CLT), based on functions of bounded F\'echet variation for the continuously differentiable linear statistics of random matrix ensembles which relies on: a weaker form of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Mario Diaz , James A. Mingo

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is known to model human decisions well, with substantial empirical evidence supporting this claim. CPT works by distorting probabilities and is more general than the classic expected utility and coherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-01 Prashanth L. A. , Cheng Jie , Michael Fu , Steve Marcus , Csaba Szepesvári

Let $\mathbf{A}=\frac{1}{\sqrt{np}}(\mathbf{X}^T\mathbf{X}-p\mathbf {I}_n)$ where $\mathbf{X}$ is a $p\times n$ matrix, consisting of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) real random variables $X_{ij}$ with mean zero and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-02 Binbin Chen , Guangming Pan

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) involve randomizing entire groups of participants -- called clusters -- to treatment arms but are often comprised of a limited or fixed number of available clusters. While covariate adjustment can account…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Angela Y. Zhu , Nandita Mitra , Karla Hemming , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

In this note, we establish an asymptotic expansion for the centering parameter appearing in the central limit theorems for linear spectral statistic of large-dimensional sample covariance matrices when the population has a spiked covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Qinwen Wang , Jack W. Silverstein , Jianfeng Yao

We introduce methods to bound the mean of a discrete distribution (or finite population) based on sample data, for random variables with a known set of possible values. In particular, the methods can be applied to categorical data with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

We study the problem of minimizing the average of a large number of smooth convex functions penalized with a strongly convex regularizer. We propose and analyze a novel primal-dual method (Quartz) which at every iteration samples and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Zheng Qu , Peter Richtárik , Tong Zhang

Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) has proven effective for efficient LLM evaluation on multiple-choice benchmarks, but modern LLM evaluation increasingly relies on generation tasks where outputs are scored continuously rather than marked…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Esma Balkır , Alice Pernthaller , Marco Basaldella , José Hernández-Orallo , Nigel Collier

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated the capability to refine their generated answers through self-correction, enabling continuous performance improvement over multiple rounds. However, the mechanisms underlying how and why…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Zhe Yang , Yichang Zhang , Yudong Wang , Ziyao Xu , Junyang Lin , Zhifang Sui

In modern data analysis, it is common to select a model before performing statistical inference. Selective inference tools make adjustments for the model selection process in order to ensure reliable inference post selection. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Yumeng Wang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Xuming He

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

In this paper, we derive a joint central limit theorem for random vector whose components are function of random sesquilinear forms. This result is a natural extension of the existing central limit theory on random quadratic forms. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-06 Qinwen Wang , Zhonggen Su , Jianfeng Yao

This paper re-examines the limit theorems of Abadie and Imbens for nearest-neighbor matching estimators of average treatment effects with a fixed number of matches. We establish, for the first time, a non-normalized central limit theorem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Songliang Chen , Fang Han

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

Identifying the relevant variables for a classification model with correct confidence levels is a central but difficult task in high-dimension. Despite the core role of sparse logistic regression in statistics and machine learning, it still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Binh T. Nguyen , Bertrand Thirion , Sylvain Arlot

Randomization testing is a fundamental method in statistics, enabling inferential tasks such as testing for (conditional) independence of random variables, constructing confidence intervals in semiparametric location models, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yash Nair , Lucas Janson

In this paper, we establish the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics (LSSs) of a large-dimensional sample covariance matrix when the population covariance matrices are involved with diverging spikes. This constitutes a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Zhijun Liu , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai , Haiyan Song

We characterize a joint CLT of the number of pulls and the sample mean reward of the arms in a stochastic two-armed bandit environment under UCB algorithms. Several implications of this result are in place: (1) a nonstandard CLT of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-10 Yilun Chen , Jiaqi Lu

Classical probabilistic rounding error analysis is particularly well suited to stochastic rounding (SR), and it yields strong results when dealing with floating-point algorithms that rely heavily on summation. For many numerical linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-26 El-Mehdi El Arar , Massimiliano Fasi , Silviu-Ioan Filip , Mantas Mikaitis