Related papers: A generalized Neyman-Pearson lemma for sublinear e…

We outline how modern likelihood theory, which provides essentially exact inferences in a variety of parametric statistical problems, may routinely be applied in practice. Although the likelihood procedures are based on analytical…

Consider the problem of estimating a random variable $X$ from noisy observations $Y = X+ Z$, where $Z$ is standard normal, under the $L^1$ fidelity criterion. It is well known that the optimal Bayesian estimator in this setting is the…

We introduce a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility…

It is well known that elliptic estimates fail for the $\bar\partial$-Neumann problem. Instead, the best that one can hope for is that derivatives in every direction but one can be estimated by the associated Dirichlet form, and when this…

We introduce an empirical functional $\Psi$ that is an optimal uniform mean estimator: Let $F\subset L_2(\mu)$ be a class of mean zero functions, $u$ is a real valued function, and $X_1,\dots,X_N$ are independent, distributed according to…

In this paper, an idea to solve nonlinear equations is presented. During the solution of any problem with Newton's Method, it might happen that some of the unknowns satisfy the convergence criteria where the others fail. The convergence…

This paper investigates the strict comparison theorem under the framework of $G$-expectation, i.e., let $X\leq Y$ q.s., if $X,Y$ satisfy some additional conditions, then $\E[X]<\E[Y]$.

We consider the Bayesian optimal filtering problem: i.e. estimating some conditional statistics of a latent time-series signal from an observation sequence. Classical approaches often rely on the use of assumed or estimated transition and…

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a non-negative solution to a possibly under-determined system of linear equations with known coefficients. This hypothesis testing problem arises naturally in a number of…

Universal outlier hypothesis testing is studied in a sequential setting. Multiple observation sequences are collected, a small subset of which are outliers. A sequence is considered an outlier if the observations in that sequence are…

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution is a two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution that can be used to model data that is under- or over-dispersed relative to the Poisson distribution. The normalizing constant…

We study prior distributions for Poisson parameter estimation under $L^1$ loss. Specifically, we construct a new family of prior distributions whose optimal Bayesian estimators (the conditional medians) can be any prescribed increasing…

Sublinear expectations for uncertain processes have received a lot of attention recently, particularly methods to extend a downward-continuous sublinear expectation on the bounded finitary functions to one on the non-finitary functions. In…

The estimation law of unknown parameters vector ${\theta}$ is proposed for one class of nonlinearly parametrized regression equations $y\left( t \right) = \Omega \left( t \right)\Theta \left( \theta \right)$. We restrict our attention to…

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…

We reconsider randomized algorithms for the low-rank approximation of symmetric positive semi-definite (SPSD) matrices such as Laplacian and kernel matrices that arise in data analysis and machine learning applications. Our main results…

We extend a recently established asymptotic normality theorem for generalized linear mixed models to include the dispersion parameter. The new results show that the maximum likelihood estimators of all model parameters have asymptotically…

In transfer learning, the learner leverages auxiliary data to improve generalization on a main task. However, the precise theoretical understanding of when and how auxiliary data help remains incomplete. We provide new insights on this…

To explain the decision of any model, we extend the notion of probabilistic Sufficient Explanations (P-SE). For each instance, this approach selects the minimal subset of features that is sufficient to yield the same prediction with high…