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Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Joung-Hun Lee , Marko Jusup , Boris Podobnik , Yoh Iwasa

In a semi-realistic market simulator, independent reinforcement learning algorithms may facilitate market makers to maintain wide spreads even without communication. This unexpected outcome challenges the current antitrust law framework. We…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Bingyan Han

In this paper we propose a semi-Markov modulated model of interest rates. We assume that the switching process is a semi-Markov process with finite state space E and the modulated process is a diffusive process. We derive recursive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-12 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

We create two distinct nonlinear regression models relating net loan loss (as an outcome) to several other financial and sociological quantities. We consider these data for the time interval between April 1st 2011 and April 1st 2020. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Nathan Thomas Provost

Fundamental variables in financial market are not only price and return but a very important role is also played by trading volumes. Here we propose a new multivariate model that takes into account price returns, logarithmic variation of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-14 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

We consider a market consisting of one safe and one risky asset, which offer constant investment opportunities. Taking into account both proportional transaction costs and linear price impact, we derive optimal rebalancing policies for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-05 Ren Liu , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marko H. Weber

How does the monetary and fiscal policy mix alter households' saving incentives? To answer these questions, we build a heterogenous agents New Keynesian model where three different types of agents can save in assets with different liquidity…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-30 Cristiano Cantore , Edoardo Leonardi

The credit crisis of 2007 and 2008 has thrown much focus on the models used to price mortgage backed securities. Many institutions have relied heavily on the credit ratings provided by credit agency. The relationships between management of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-11 K. Rajaratnam

A repo trade involves the sale of a security coupled with a contract to repurchase at a later time. Following the 2008 financial crisis, accounting standards were updated to require repo intermediaries, who are mostly banks, to increase…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-01 Daniel J. Aronoff , Robert M. Townsend , Madars Virza

Several studies have focused on the Realized Range Volatility, an estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices, taking into account the impact of microstructure noise and jumps. However, none has considered direct modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin

We study the impact of exchange rate volatility on cost efficiency and market structure in a cross-section of banks that have non-trivial exposures to foreign currency (FX) operations. We use unique data on quarterly revaluations of FX…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-13 Mikhail Mamonov , Christopher Parmeter , Artem Prokhorov

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

The study of systemic risk is often presented through the analysis of several measures referring to quantities used by practitioners and policy makers. Almost invariably, those measures evaluate the size of the impact that exogenous events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-13 Luka Klinčić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli , Hrvoje Štefančić

The present study deals with the analysis and mapping of Swiss franc interest rates. Interest rates depend on time and maturity, defining term structure of the interest rate curves (IRC). In the present study IRC are considered in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 M. Kanevski , M. Maignan , A. Pozdnoukhov , V. Timonin

This paper studies the bank dynamic decision problem in the intermediate time step for a discrete-time setup. We have considered a three-time-step model. Initially, the banks raise money through debt and equity and invest in different types…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Energy efficiency gains in production and consumption are undisputed economic and environmental goals. However, potential energy savings derived from efficiency innovations may have short-lasting effects due to increased demand for more…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-25 Marcio Santetti

In this empirical paper we show that in the months following a crash there is a distinct connection between the fall of stock prices and the increase in the range of interest rates for a sample of bonds. This variable, which is often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 B. M. Roehner

In this paper we present a Bayesian competing risk proportional hazards model to describe mortgage defaults and prepayments. We develop Bayesian inference for the model using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Implementation of the model is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-26 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon P. Wilson , Refik Soyer