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Interest-rate risk is a key factor for property-casualty insurer capital. P&C companies tend to be highly leveraged, with bond holdings much greater than capital. For GAAP capital, bonds are marked to market but liabilities are not, so…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Gary Venter , Kailan Shang

We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Andrew Matacz , Marc Potters

A model is developed to assess the profitability of loans or mortgages with a specified repayment schedule. Financial institutions face two competing risks: default and prepayment, both influenced by the stochastic evolution of credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-12 Quirini Lorenzo , Vannucci Luigi , Quirini Giovanni

One stylized feature of financial volatility impacting the modeling process is long memory. This paper examines long memory for alternative risk measures, observed absolute and squared returns for Daily REITs and compares the findings for a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 John Cotter , Simon Stevenson

Portfolio underdiversification is one of the most costly losses accumulated over a household's life cycle. We provide new evidence on the impact of financial inclusion services on households' portfolio choice and investment efficiency using…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-03 Yong Bian , Xiqian Wang , Qin Zhang

Climate change poses new risks for real estate assets. Given that the majority of home buyers use a loan to pay for their homes and the majority of these loans are purchased by the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), it is important to…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-15 Amine Ouazad , Matthew E. Kahn

One of the risks derived from selling long term policies that any insurance company has, arises from interest rates. In this paper we consider a general class of stochastic volatility models written in forward variance form. We also deal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 David R. Baños , Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

We give a simple algorithm to incorporate the effects of resets in convertible bond prices, without having to add an extra factor to take into account the value of the reset. Furthermore we show that the effect of a notice period, and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 J. K. Hoogland , C. D. D. Neumann , D. Bloch

The paper discusses various practical consequences of treating economics and finance as an inherently dynamic and chaotic system. On the theoretical side this looks at the general applicability of the market-making pricing approach to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-30 Geoff Willis

This article is an extension of the work of one of us (Coopersmith, 2011) in deriving the relationship between certain interest rates and the inflation rate of a two component economic system. We use the well-known Fisher relation between…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Michael Coopersmith , Pascal J. Gambardella

The 2022 rise in U.S. mortgage rates increased relocation costs for homeowners with low-rate mortgages. This cost varies across destinations because each draws workers from a different mix of labor markets. We build an in-migration…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-29 Duha T. Altindag , John M. Nunley , R. Alan Seals

In this work we will develop a new approach to solve the non repayment problem in microfinance due to the problem of asymmetric information. This approach is based on modeling and simulation of ordinary differential systems where time…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-12 Mohammed Kaicer , Abdelilah Kaddar

Using a large quarterly macroeconomic dataset for the period 1960-2017, we document the ability of specific financial ratios from the housing market and firms' aggregate balance sheets to predict GDP over medium-term horizons in the United…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-22 Graziano Moramarco

Recurrent boom-and-bust cycles are a salient feature of economic and financial history. Cycles found in the data are stochastic, often highly persistent, and span substantial fractions of the sample size. We refer to such cycles as "long".…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Natasha Kang , Vadim Marmer

Prior literature has argued that flood insurance maps may not capture the extent of flood risk. This paper performs a granular assessment of coastal flood risk in the mortgage market by using physical simulations of hurricane storm surge…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-11 Amine Ouazad

In this paper, we study option pricing under Vasicek Model by a Hamiltonian approach. Since the interest rate changes with time, we split the time to maturity into infinite steps, and the matrix element during each step could be calculated…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-09 Chao Guo , Ning Yao

This paper investigates the impact of banking competition on interest rates for household consumption loans in the Euro Area from 2014 to 2020. Utilizing a panel data regression approach, we analyze how various factors, including local…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-28 Alexander Rom

This paper combines and develops the models in Lastrapes (2002) and Mankiw & Weil (1989), which enables us to analyze the effects of interest rate and population growth shocks on housing price in one integrated framework. Based on this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-04 Ling-Yun He , Xing-Chun Wen

Leasing is a popular channel to market new cars. Pricing a leasing contract is complicated because the leasing rate embodies an expectation of the residual value of the car after contract expiration. To aid lessors in their pricing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Korbinian Dress , Stefan Lessmann , Hans-Jörg von Mettenheim

Research has shown banks match interest income and expense betas, and thereby obtain net interest income margins which are insensitive to changes in short-term interest rates. The present analysis extends this research in a number of ways.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Matt Brigida