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We present a computationally efficient online kernel Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) method for change-point detection that utilizes the maximum over a set of kernel statistics to account for the unknown change-point location. Our approach exhibits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Song Wei , Yao Xie

Given a time-evolving graph, how can we track similarity between nodes in a fast and accurate way, with theoretical guarantees on the convergence and the error? Random Walk with Restart (RWR) is a popular measure to estimate the similarity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Minji Yoon , Woojeong Jin , U Kang

Classifying sequential data as early and as accurately as possible is a challenging yet critical problem, especially when a sampling cost is high. One algorithm that achieves this goal is the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT), which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Akinori F. Ebihara , Taiki Miyagawa , Kazuyuki Sakurai , Hitoshi Imaoka

Many stochastic time series can be modelled by discrete random walks in which a step of random sign but constant length $\delta x$ is performed after each time interval $\delta t$. In correlated discrete time random walks (CDTRWs), the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-06 Claus Metzner

Quickest change detection (QCD) is a fundamental problem in many applications. Given a sequence of measurements that exhibits two different distributions around a certain flipping point, the goal is to detect the change in distribution…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Ahmed Badawy , Ahmed El Shafie , Tamer Khattab

Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. This article develops a continuous threshold expectile regression for modeling data in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

We study statistical process control (SPC) through charting of $p$-values. When in control (IC), any valid sequence $(P_{t})_{t}$ is super-uniform, a requirement that can hold in nonparametric and two-phase designs without parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Hien Duy Nguyen , Dan Wang

It is well known that the conventional cumulative sum (CUSUM) test suffers from low power and large detection delay. In order to improve the power of the test, we propose two alternative statistics. The backward CUSUM detector considers the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-13 Sven Otto , Jörg Breitung

As the complexity of production processes increases, the diversity of data types drives the development of network monitoring technology. This paper mainly focuses on an online algorithm to detect serially correlated directed networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Miaomiao Yu , Yuhao Zhou , Fugee Tsung

In a variety of different settings cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedures have been applied for the sequential detection of structural breaks in the parameters of stochastic models. Yet their performance depends strongly on the time of change…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

Wald's sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) is a cornerstone of sequential analysis. Based on desired type-I, II error levels $\alpha, \beta$, it stops when the likelihood ratio crosses certain thresholds, guaranteeing optimality of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

This article considers testing for mean-level shifts in functional data. The class of the famous Darling-Erd\H{o}s-type cumulative sums (CUSUM) procedures is extended to functional time series under short range dependence conditions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-26 Leonid Torgovitski

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is known to model human decisions well, with substantial empirical evidence supporting this claim. CPT works by distorting probabilities and is more general than the classic expected utility and coherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-01 Prashanth L. A. , Cheng Jie , Michael Fu , Steve Marcus , Csaba Szepesvári

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

A CUSUM type test for constant correlation that goes beyond a previously suggested correlation constancy test by considering Spearman's rho in arbitrary dimensions is proposed. Since the new test does not require the existence of any…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-31 Dominik Wied , Herold Dehling , Maarten van Kampen , Daniel Vogel

We propose distribution-free runs-based control charts for detecting location shifts. Using the fact that given the number of total successes, the outcomes of a sequence of Bernoulli trials are random permutations, we are able to control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Tung-Lung Wu

Control charts, one of the main tools in Statistical Process Control (SPC), have been widely adopted in manufacturing sectors as an effective strategy for malfunction detection throughout the previous decades. Measurement errors (M.E's) are…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-14 Muhammad Imran , Jinsheng Sun , Fatima Sehar Zaidi , Zameer Abbas , Hafiz Zafar Nazir

Nonparametric control charts that can detect arbitrary distributional changes are highly desirable due to their flexibility to adapt to different distributional assumptions and distributional changes. However, most of such control charts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Jun Li

In this paper the asymptotic distribution of the stopping time in Page's sequential cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure is presented. Page as well as ordinary cumulative sums are considered as detectors for changes in the mean of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra