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The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Dynamical system models with delayed dynamics and small noise arise in a variety of applications in science and engineering. In many applications, stable equilibrium or periodic behavior is critical to a well functioning system. Sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 David Lipshutz

We establish asymptotic normality results for estimation of the block probability matrix $\mathbf{B}$ in stochastic blockmodel graphs using spectral embedding when the average degrees grows at the rate of $\omega(\sqrt{n})$ in $n$, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-31 Minh Tang , Joshua Cape , Carey E. Priebe

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

Non-linear mixed effects modeling and simulation (NLME M&S) is evaluated to be used for standardization with longitudinal data in presence of confounders. Standardization is a well-known method in causal inference to correct for confounding…

Spontaneous reporting system databases are key resources for post-marketing surveillance, providing real-world evidence (RWE) on the adverse events (AEs) of regulated drugs or other medical products. Various statistical methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Xin-Wei Huang , Saptarshi Chakraborty

In this paper non-asymptotic exact exponential estimates are derived (under minimal conditions) for the tail of deviation of the MLE distribution in the so-called natural terms: natural function, natural distance, metric entropy, Banach…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-25 E. Ostrovsky , E. Rogover

Stochastic differential equation mixed-effects models (SDEMEMs) are flexible hierarchical models that are able to account for random variability inherent in the underlying time-dynamics, as well as the variability between experimental units…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-22 Samuel Wiqvist , Andrew Golightly , Ashleigh T. McLean , Umberto Picchini

Stable random variables are motivated by the central limit theorem for densities with (potentially) unbounded variance and can be thought of as natural generalizations of the Gaussian distribution to skewed and heavy-tailed phenomenon. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-17 Navodit Misra , Ercan E. Kuruoglu

Integration against a probability distribution given its unnormalized density is a central task in Bayesian inference and other fields. We introduce new methods for approximating such expectations with a small set of weighted samples --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Ayoub Belhadji , Daniel Sharp , Youssef M. Marzouk

In this paper, we study multi-species stochastic interacting particle systems and their mean-field McKean-Vlasov partial differential equations (PDEs) in non-convex landscapes. We discuss the well-posedness of the multi-species SDE system,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Manh Hong Duong , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Julian Tugaut

In cluster-specific studies, ordinary logistic regression and conditional logistic regression for binary outcomes provide maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and conditional maximum likelihood estimator (CMLE), respectively. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Zhulin He , Yuyuan Ouyang

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

The normality assumption on data set is very restrictive approach for modelling. The generalized form of normal distribution, named as an exponential power (EP) distribution, and its scale mixture form have been considered extensively to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Mehmet Niyazi Cankaya , Olcay Arslan

We present the validity of stochastic averaging principle for non-autonomous slow-fast stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose fast motions admit random periodic solutions. Our investigation is motivated by some problems arising from…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Kenneth Uda

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equation mixed effects models (SDEMEMs) is a challenging problem. Analytical solutions for these models are rarely available, which means that the likelihood is also intractable. In this case,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi

Anomaly estimation, or the problem of finding a subset of a dataset that differs from the rest of the dataset, is a classic problem in machine learning and data mining. In both theoretical work and in applications, the anomaly is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Uthsav Chitra , Kimberly Ding , Jasper C. H. Lee , Benjamin J. Raphael

We consider the problem of delay estimation by the observations of the solutions of several SDEs. It is known that the MLE for these models are consistent and asymptotically normal, but the likelihood ratio functions are not differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Yury A. Kutoyants

Significant progress has been made recently on theoretical analysis of estimators for the stochastic block model (SBM). In this paper, we consider the multi-graph SBM, which serves as a foundation for many application settings including…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-11 Qiuyi Han , Kevin S. Xu , Edoardo M. Airoldi
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