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We prove the weak consistency of the posterior distribution and that of the Bayes estimator for a two-phase piecewise linear regression mdoel where the break-point is unknown. The non-differentiability of the likelihood of the model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

In this paper we discuss Stochastic Differential-Algebraic Equations (SDAEs) and the asymptotic stability assessment for such systems via Lyapunov exponents (LEs). We focus on index-one SDAEs and their reformulation as ordinary stochastic…

This paper investigates the asymptotic distribution of the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE) in multinomial logistic models in the high-dimensional regime where dimension and sample size are of the same order. While classical large-sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

The distribution-dependent stochastic differential equations (DDSDEs) describe stochastic systems whose evolution is determined by both the microcosmic site and the macrocosmic distribution of the particle. The density function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Feng-Yu Wang

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Khasminski's \cite{chas1980stochastic} showed that many of the asymptotic stability and the integrability properties of the solutions to the Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) can be obtained using Lyapunov functions techniques. These…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Lukasz Szpruch , X\=ılíng Zhāng

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Finite mixtures of matrix normal distributions are a powerful tool for classifying three-way data in unsupervised problems. The distribution of each component is assumed to be a matrix variate normal density. The mixture model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-07 Cinzia Viroli

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

We study and compare three estimators of a discrete monotone distribution: (a) the (raw) empirical estimator; (b) the "method of rearrangements" estimator; and (c) the maximum likelihood estimator. We show that the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-20 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic distribution of the normalized error for the Mittag--Leffler Euler (MLE) method applied to a class of multidimensional fractional stochastic differential equations. These equations are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Xinjie Dai , Baiping Zhang , Diancong Jin

Dynamical systems that are subject to continuous uncertain fluctuations can be modelled using Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). Controlling such system results in solving path constrained SDEs. Broadly, these problems fall under the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Sumit Suthar , Soumyendu Raha

Automated model discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) usually considers a single experiment or dataset to infer the underlying governing equations. In practice, experiments have inherent natural variability in parameters,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-25 Georges Tod , Gert-Jan Both , Remy Kusters

The limiting stability of invariant probability measures of time homogeneous transition semigroups for autonomous stochastic systems has been extensively discussed in the literature. In this paper we initially initiate a program to study…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Renhai Wang , Tomas Caraballo , Nguyen Huy Tuan

This article investigates the asymptotic distribution of penalized estimators with non-differentiable penalties designed to recover low-dimensional pattern structures. Patterns play a central role in estimation, as they reveal the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ivan Hejný , Jonas Wallin , Małgorzata Bogdan

Using the superstatistics method, we propose an extension of the random matrix theory to cover systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics. Unlike most of the other works in this direction, the ensembles of the proposed approach are basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Y. Abul-Magd

Drees and Rootz\'en (2010) have established limit theorems for a general class of empirical processes of statistics that are useful for the extreme value analysis of time series, but do not apply to statistics of sliding blocks, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Holger Drees , Sebastian Neblung

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin
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