Related papers: Pathwise estimates for an effective dynamics

In this work we focus on fluctuations of time-integrated observables for a particle diffusing in a one-dimensional periodic potential in the weak-noise asymptotics. Our interest goes to rare trajectories presenting an atypical value of the…

We introduce a constructive framework to learn effective Langevin equations from stationary time series. Unlike conventional approaches that require iterative calibration to match target statistics, our construction guarantees the observed…

Distributional identities for a L\'evy process $X_t$, its quadratic variation process $V_t$ and its maximal jump processes, are derived, and used to make "small time" (as $t\downarrow0$) asymptotic comparisons between them. The…

We study merchant energy production modeled as a compound switching and timing option. The resulting Markov decision process is intractable. State-of-the-art approximate dynamic programming methods applied to realistic instances of this…

We consider a diffusion $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ with some $T$-periodic time dependent input term contained in the drift: under an unknown parameter $\vth\in\Theta$, some discontinuity - an additional periodic signal - occurs at times…

The paper deals with the fast-slow motions setups in the continuous time $\frac {dX^\ve(t)}{dt}=\frac 1\ve\sig(X^\ve(t))\xi(t/\ve^2)+b(X^\ve(t)),\, t\in [0,T]$ and the discrete time…

We build a sequence of empirical measures on the space D(R_+,R^d) of R^d-valued c\`adl\`ag functions on R_+ in order to approximate the law of a stationary R^d-valued Markov and Feller process (X_t). We obtain some general results of…

Understanding chemical mechanisms requires estimating dynamical statistics such as expected hitting times, reaction rates, and committors. Here, we present a general framework for calculating these dynamical quantities by approximating…

Many living and complex systems exhibit second order emergent dynamics. Limited experimental access to the configurational degrees of freedom results in data that appears to be generated by a non-Markovian process. This poses a challenge in…

We analyse a trimmed stochastic process of the form ${}^{(r)}X_t= X_t - \sum_{i=1}^r \Delta_t^{(i)}$, where $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ is a driftless subordinator on $\mathbb{R}$ with its jumps on $[0,t]$ ordered as $ \Delta_t^{(1)}\ge…

There is a growing interest in methods for detecting and interpreting changes in experimental time evolution data. Based on measured time series, the quantitative characterization of dynamical phase transitions at bifurcation points of the…

We consider offline reinforcement learning (RL) in $H$-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) under the linear $q^\pi$-realizability assumption, where the action-value function of every policy is linear with respect to a given…

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

We study the problem of estimating the coefficients of a diffusion (X_t,t\geq 0); the estimation is based on discrete data X_{n\Delta},n=0,1,...,N. The sampling frequency \Delta^{-1} is constant, and asymptotics are taken as the number N of…

Stochastically switching force terms appear frequently in models of biological systems under the action of active agents such as proteins. The interaction of switching force and Brownian motion can create an "effective thermal equilibrium"…

Given a Gaussian process $(X_t)_{t \in \mathbb{R}}$, we construct a Gaussian \emph{Markov} process with the same one-dimensional marginals using sequences of transformations of $(X_t)_{t \in \mathbb{R}}$ "made Markov" at finitely many…

Let X^{(k)}(t) = (X_1(t), ..., X_k(t)) denote a k-vector of i.i.d. random variables, each taking the values 1 or 0 with respective probabilities p and 1-p. As a process indexed by non-negative t, $X^{(k)}(t)$ is constructed--following…

We prove a sharp asymptotic formula for the mean exit time from a bounded domain $D\subset \mathbb R^d$ for the overdamped Langevin dynamics $$d X_t = -\nabla f(X_t) d t + \sqrt{2\ve} \ d B_t$$ when $\ve \to 0$ and in the case when $D$…

Consider a multidimensional diffusion process $X=\{X\left(t\right) :t\in\lbrack0,1]\}$. Let $\varepsilon>0$ be a \textit{deterministic}, user defined, tolerance error parameter. Under standard regularity conditions on the drift and…

Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$ which admits an invariant probability measure, let $(X_n)_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $\xi$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S_n=\sum…