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Quantum machine learning models have been gaining significant traction within atomistic simulation communities. Conventionally, relative model performances are being assessed and compared using learning curves (prediction error vs. training…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-29 Pascal Pernot , Bing Huang , Andreas Savin

The predictive capability of a modification of Rissanen's accumulated prediction error (APE) criterion, APE$_{\delta_n}$, is investigated in infinite-order autoregressive (AR($\infty$)) models. Instead of accumulating squares of sequential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ching-Kang Ing

The linear regression model with a random variable (RV) measurement matrix, where the mean of the random measurement matrix has full column rank, has been extensively studied. In particular, the quasiconvexity of the maximum likelihood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Ruohai Guo , Jiang Zhu , Xing Jiang , Fengzhong Qu

In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Daniel Kinn

Channel decoding, channel detection, channel assessment, and resource management for wireless multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems are all examples of problems where machine learning (ML) can be successfully applied. In this paper,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-30 Evgeny Bobrov , Sergey Troshin , Nadezhda Chirkova , Ekaterina Lobacheva , Sviatoslav Panchenko , Dmitry Vetrov , Dmitry Kropotov

The standard approach to fitting an autoregressive spike train model is to maximize the likelihood for one-step prediction. This maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) often leads to models that perform poorly when generating samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Diego M. Arribas , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

We study model evaluation and model selection from the perspective of generalization ability (GA): the ability of a model to predict outcomes in new samples from the same population. We believe that GA is one way formally to address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-19 Ning Xu , Jian Hong , Timothy C. G. Fisher

The availability of precise and accurate simulation is a limiting factor for interpreting and forecasting data in many fields of science and engineering. Often, one or more distinct simulation software applications are developed, each with…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-02-19 Moritz Wolf , Lars O. Stietz , Patrick L. S. Connor , Peter Schleper , Samuel Bein

Correntropy is a second order statistical measure in kernel space, which has been successfully applied in robust learning and signal processing. In this paper, we define a nonsecond order statistical measure in kernel space, called the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-22 Badong Chen , Lei Xing , Xin Wang , Jing Qin , Nanning Zheng

In this paper we study the consistency of an empirical minimum error entropy (MEE) algorithm in a regression setting. We introduce two types of consistency. The error entropy consistency, which requires the error entropy of the learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Jun Fan , Ting Hu , Qiang Wu , Ding-Xuan Zhou

We propose a kernel mixture of polynomials prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The regression function is modeled by local averages of polynomials with kernel mixture weights. We obtain the minimax-optimal rate of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

We investigate the proximal map for the weighted mean absolute error function. An algorithm for its efficient and vectorized evaluation is presented. As a demonstration, this algorithm is applied as part of a checkerboard algorithm to solve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Lukas Baumgärtner , Roland Herzog , Stephan Schmidt , Manuel Weiß

Errors in variables (Deming) regression of measurements spanning a wide range of values requires appropriate weighting to reflect nonconstant variance. Precision profile models, mathematical relationships between measurement variance and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-06 Douglas M Hawkins , Jessica J Kraker

Many modern datasets are collected automatically and are thus easily contaminated by outliers. This led to a regain of interest in robust estimation, including new notions of robustness such as robustness to adversarial contamination of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Pierre Alquier , Mathieu Gerber

Modern deep neural networks achieved remarkable progress in medical image segmentation tasks. However, it has recently been observed that they tend to produce overconfident estimates, even in situations of high uncertainty, leading to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Agostina Larrazabal , Cesar Martinez , Jose Dolz , Enzo Ferrante

An important feature of kernel mean embeddings (KME) is that the rate of convergence of the empirical KME to the true distribution KME can be bounded independently of the dimension of the space, properties of the distribution and smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Pierre Alquier

Radio map estimation (RME) is the problem of inferring the value of a certain metric (e.g. signal power) across an area of interest given a collection of measurements. While most works tackle this problem from a purely non-Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-11 Tien Ngoc Ha , Daniel Romero

It is important for official statistics production to apply ML with statistical rigor, as it presents both opportunities and challenges. Although machine learning has enjoyed rapid technological advances in recent years, its application…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-09 Marco Puts , David Salgado , Piet Daas

Measurement error arises through a variety of mechanisms. A rich literature exists on the bias introduced by covariate measurement error and on methods of analysis to address this bias. By comparison, less attention has been given to errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Pamela Shaw , Jiwei He , Bryan Shepherd

Many leading classification algorithms output a classifier that is a weighted average of kernel evaluations. Optimizing these weights is a nontrivial problem that still attracts much research effort. Furthermore, explaining these methods to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Brendan van Rooyen , Aditya Krishna Menon , Robert C. Williamson