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In this article, we investigate the robust optimal design problem for the prediction of response when the fitted regression models are only approximately specified, and observations might be missing completely at random. The intuitive idea…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-19 Rui Hu , Ion Bica , Zhichun Zhai

Machine learning algorithms have grown in sophistication over the years and are increasingly deployed for real-life applications. However, when using machine learning techniques in practical settings, particularly in high-risk applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Sukrita Singh , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Li , Agni Orfanoudaki , Michael Berger

Machine Learning is a diverse field applied across various domains such as computer science, social sciences, medicine, chemistry, and finance. This diversity results in varied evaluation approaches, making it difficult to compare models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Silvia Beddar-Wiesing , Alice Moallemy-Oureh , Marie Kempkes , Josephine M. Thomas

Mixture proportion estimation (MPE) aims to estimate class priors from unlabeled data. This task is a critical component in weakly supervised learning, such as PU learning, learning with label noise, and domain adaptation. Existing MPE…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Yushi Hirose , Akito Narahara , Takafumi Kanamori

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is the workhorse of machine learning, whether for classification and regression or for off-policy policy learning, but its model-agnostic guarantees can fail when we use adaptively collected data, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-04 Aurélien Bibaut , Antoine Chambaz , Maria Dimakopoulou , Nathan Kallus , Mark van der Laan

We adopt and expand McDonald's (2011) regression framework for measurement precision, integrating two key perspectives: (a) reliability of observed scores and (b) optimal prediction of latent scores. Reliability arises from a measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Yang Liu , Jolynn Pek , Alberto Maydeu-Olivares

We study targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) of the average treatment effect in a semiparametric regression model whose mean function is indexed by a finite-dimensional parameter, while the additive error distribution is left…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Mijeong Kim

In recent years, Machine Learning algorithms, in particular supervised learning techniques, have been shown to be very effective in solving regression problems. We compare the performance of a newly proposed regression algorithm against…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Sabina Gooljar , Kris Manohar , Patrick Hosein

Computer simulations have proven a valuable tool for understanding complex phenomena across the sciences. However, the utility of simulators for modelling and forecasting purposes is often restricted by low data quality, as well as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Daniel Ward , Patrick Cannon , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo , Sebastian M Schmon

The minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion has been verified as a powerful approach for non-Gaussian signal processing and robust machine learning. However, the implementation of MEE on robust classification is rather a vacancy in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Natsue Yoshimura , Yasuharu Koike

Given a collection of feature maps indexed by a set $\mathcal{T}$, we study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) on regression problems with square loss over the union of the linear classes induced by these feature maps.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

Empirical Bayes estimators are based on minimizing the average risk with the hyper-parameters in the weighting function being estimated from observed data. The performance of an empirical Bayes estimator is typically evaluated by its mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

The Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) is a kernel-based metric widely used for nonparametric tests and estimation. Recently, it has also been studied as an objective function for parametric estimation, as it has been shown to yield robust…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-25 Pierre Alquier , Mathieu Gerber

For regression model selection via maximum likelihood estimation, we adopt a vector representation of candidate models and study the likelihood ratio confidence region for the regression parameter vector of a full model. We show that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Min Tsao

This paper derives error bounds for regression in continuous time over subsets of certain types of Riemannian manifolds.The regression problem is typically driven by a nonlinear evolution law taking values on the manifold, and it is cast as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Nathan Powell , Jia Guo , Sai Tej Parachuri , John Burns , Boone Estes , Andrew Kurdila

Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

We present an operator-free, measure-theoretic approach to the conditional mean embedding (CME) as a random variable taking values in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While the kernel mean embedding of unconditional distributions has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Junhyung Park , Krikamol Muandet

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

We reassess the use of linear models to approximate response probabilities of binary outcomes, focusing on average partial effects (APE). We confirm that linear projection parameters coincide with APEs in certain scenarios. Through…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-19 Kaicheng Chen , Robert S. Martin , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar