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The behavior of many dynamical systems follow complex, yet still unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). While several machine learning methods have been proposed to learn PDEs directly from data, previous methods are limited to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Valerii Iakovlev , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

Many biological systems are governed by difference equations and exhibit discrete-time dynamics. Examples include the size of a population when generations are non-overlapping, and the incidence of a disease when infections are recorded at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-25 Shuyun Jiao , David Waxman

The prediction of behavior in dynamical systems, is frequently subject to the design of models. When a time series obtained from observing the system is available, the task can be performed by designing the model from these observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Pedro Garcia

This paper introduces a new framework for analyzing the stability of discrete-time model predictive controllers acting on continuous-time systems. The proposed framework introduces the distinction between discretization time (used to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Yaashia Gautam , Marco M. Nicotra

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

In this work, we compare the direct and indirect approaches to data-driven predictive control of stochastic linear time-invariant systems. The distinction between the two approaches lies in the fact that the indirect approach involves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Vishaal Krishnan , Fabio Pasqualetti

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

Stochastic dynamical systems are fundamental in state estimation, system identification and control. System models are often provided in continuous time, while a major part of the applied theory is developed for discrete-time systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Niklas Wahlström , Patrix Axelsson , Fredrik Gustafsson

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

Time series data that are not measured at regular intervals are commonly discretized as a preprocessing step. For example, data about customer arrival times might be simplified by summing the number of arrivals within hourly intervals,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-09 Peter Schulam , Suchi Saria

We prove that the standard discrete-time accelerator equation cannot be considered as an exact discrete analog of the continuous-time accelerator equation. This leads to fact that the standard discrete-time macroeconomic models cannot be…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-29 Valentina V. Tarasova , Vasily E. Tarasov

We propose a computer-assisted approach to studying the effective continuum behavior of spatially discrete evolution equations. The advantage of the approach is that the "coarse model" (the continuum, effective equation) need not be…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Moeller , O. Runborg , P. G. Kevrekidis , K. Lust , I. G. Kevrekidis

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

We study the optimal control of discrete time mean filed dynamical systems under partial observations. We express the global law of the filtered process as a controlled system with its own dynamics. Following a dynamic programming approach,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Jeremy Chichportich , Idris Kharroubi

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt
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