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Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

Data-driven model predictive control has two key advantages over model-free methods: a potential for improved sample efficiency through model learning, and better performance as computational budget for planning increases. However, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Nicklas Hansen , Xiaolong Wang , Hao Su

This paper deals with the problem of finite-time learning for unknown discrete-time nonlinear systems' dynamics, without the requirement of the persistence of excitation. Two finite-time concurrent learning methods are presented to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Farzaneh Tatari , Christos Panayiotou , Marios Polycarpou

Learning stochastic models of dynamical systems from observed data is of interest in many scientific fields. Here, we propose a new method for this task within the family of dynamical variational autoencoders. The proposed double projection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Viktor Sip , Martin Breyton , Spase Petkoski , Viktor Jirsa

The stochastic interpolant framework offers a powerful approach for constructing generative models based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) or stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to transform arbitrary data distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yuhao Liu , Yu Chen , Rui Hu , Longbo Huang

We propose the difference discrete variational principle in discrete mechanics and symplectic algorithm with variable step-length of time in finite duration based upon a noncommutative differential calculus established in this paper. This…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-01-17 Xu-Dong Luo , Han-Ying Guo , Yu-Qi Li , Ke Wu

We present a method to learn mean residence time and escape probability from data modeled by stochastic differential equations. This method is a combination of machine learning from data (to extract stochastic differential equations as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Dengfeng Wu , Miaomiao Fu , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic differential equations are an important modeling class in many disciplines. Consequently, there exist many methods relying on various discretization and numerical integration schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Gabriele Abbati , Philippe Wenk , Michael A Osborne , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Dynamical systems theory provides powerful methods to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. Here we derive and theoretically support a macroscopic, spatially discrete, model for a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-03-12 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

We present a method for the identification of continuous, spatiotemporal dynamics from experimental data. We use a model in the form of a partial differential equation and formulate an optimization problem for its estimation from data. The…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Voss , M. J. Bünner , M. Abel

We investigate stochastic averaging theory for locally Lipschitz discrete-time nonlinear systems with stochastic perturbation and its applications to convergence analysis of discrete-time stochastic extremum seeking algorithms. Firstly, by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Shu-Jun Liu , Miroslav Krstic

In this contribution we establish a dictionary between terms in two different areas in order to show that many of the topics studied are common ones - just with a different terminology. We further analyze the relations between the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Rocío Díaz Martín , Ivan Medri , Ursula Molter

Linear dynamical relations that may exist in continuous-time, or at some natural sampling rate, are not directly discernable at reduced observational sampling rates. Indeed, at reduced rates, matricial spectral densities of vectorial time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

Score-based modeling through stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has provided a new perspective on diffusion models, and demonstrated superior performance on continuous data. However, the gradient of the log-likelihood function, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Haoran Sun , Lijun Yu , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Hanjun Dai

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Continuous-time trajectory estimation is an attractive alternative to discrete-time batch estimation due to the ability to incorporate high-frequency measurements from asynchronous sensors while keeping the number of optimization parameters…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Jacob Johnson , Joshua Mangelson , Timothy Barfoot , Randal Beard

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä