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Nonparametric regression and regression-discontinuity designs suffer from smoothing bias that distorts conventional confidence intervals. Solutions based on robust bias correction (RBC) are now central to the economist's toolbox. In this…

We analyse a second-order SPDE model in multiple space dimensions and develop estimators for the parameters of this model based on discrete observations of a solution in time and space on a bounded domain. While parameter estimation for one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Patrick Bossert

We study a fundamental class of regression models called the second order linear model (SLM). The SLM extends the linear model to high order functional space and has attracted considerable research interest recently. Yet how to efficiently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-26 Ming Lin , Shuang Qiu , Bin Hong , Jieping Ye

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

Simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) has proven to be efficient for recursive optimization. SPSA uses a centered difference approximation to the gradient based on two function evaluations regardless of the dimension of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-06 Xumeng Cao

We study inference on a low-dimensional functional $\beta$ in the presence of infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters. Classical inferential methods are typically based on Wald intervals, whose large-sample validity rests on asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Mengchu Zheng , Matteo Bonvini , Zijian Guo

Pocock and Simon's minimization method is a popular approach for covariate-adaptive randomization in clinical trials. Valid statistical inference with data collected under the minimization method requires the knowledge of the limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Zixuan Zhao , Yanglei Song , Wenyu Jiang , Dongsheng Tu

We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where $p<n$ but $p/n$ is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 Noureddine El Karoui , Elizabeth Purdom

The multivariate linear regression model is an important tool for investigating relationships between several response variables and several predictor variables. The primary interest is in inference about the unknown regression coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Daniel J. Eck

We consider a high-dimensional mean estimation problem over a binary hidden Markov model, which illuminates the interplay between memory in data, sample size, dimension, and signal strength in statistical inference. In this model, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Yihan Zhang , Nir Weinberger

We consider the sparse high-dimensional linear regression model $Y=Xb+\epsilon$ where $b$ is a sparse vector. For the Bayesian approach to this problem, many authors have considered the behavior of the posterior distribution when, in truth,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Dana Yang

We investigate the asymptotic distributions of coordinates of regression M-estimates in the moderate $p/n$ regime, where the number of covariates $p$ grows proportionally with the sample size $n$. Under appropriate regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Lihua Lei , Peter J. Bickel , Noureddine El Karoui

We consider inference for the parameters of a linear model when the covariates are random and the relationship between response and covariates is possibly non-linear. Conventional inference methods such as z-intervals perform poorly in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-17 Daniel McCarthy , Kai Zhang , Lawrence Brown , Richard Berk , Andreas Buja , Edward George , Linda Zhao

We numerically study bootstrap percolation on Kleinberg's spatial networks, in which the probability density function of a node to have a long-range link at distance $r$ scales as $P(r)\sim r^{\alpha}$. Setting the ratio of the size of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-07 Jian Gao , Tao Zhou , Yanqing Hu

In this expository note we describe a surprising phenomenon in overparameterized linear regression, where the dimension exceeds the number of samples: there is a regime where the test risk of the estimator found by gradient descent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-17 Preetum Nakkiran

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

A regression model with more parameters than data points in the training data is overparametrized and has the capability to interpolate the training data. Based on the classical bias-variance tradeoff expressions, it is commonly assumed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Tomas McKelvey

Clinical prediction models are increasingly used to support patient care, yet many deep learning-based approaches remain unstable, as their predictions can vary substantially when trained on different samples from the same population. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Sara Matijevic , Christopher Yau

Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

Nonlinear signal distortions are one of the primary factors limiting the capacity and reach of optical transmission systems. Currently, several approaches exist for compensating nonlinear distortions, but for practical implementation,…

Optics · Physics 2024-10-01 Alexey Redyuk , Evgeny Shevelev , Vitaly Danilko , Mikhail Fedoruk
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