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In this letter, we construct cusum change-point tests for the Hurst exponent and the volatility of a discretely observed fractional Brownian motion. As a statistical application of the functional Breuer-Major theorems by B\'egyn (2007) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Markus Bibinger

We consider inverse problems in Hilbert spaces under correlated Gaussian noise and use a Bayesian approach to find their regularised solution. We focus on mildly ill-posed inverse problems with the noise being generalised derivative of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Natalia Bochkina , Jenovah Rodrigues

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst index and volatility parameters of solutions of stochastic differential equations with polynomial drift are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov , Dmitrij Melichov

This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez

Given a fractional Brownian motion \,\,$(B_{t}^{H})_{t\geq 0}$,\, with Hurst parameter \,$> 1/2$\,\,we study the properties of all solutions of \,\,: {equation} X_{t}=B_{t}^{H}+\int_0^t X_{u}d\mu(u), \;\; 0\leq t\leq 1{equation} A different…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-20 Mamadou Abdoul Diop , Youssef Ouknine

The multiscale dynamics of glow discharge plasma is analysed through wavelet transform, whose scale dependent variable window size aptly captures both transients and non-stationary periodic behavior. The optimal time-frequency localization…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Bapun K. Giri , Chiranjit Mitra , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , A. N. Sekar Iyengar

This paper developed an inference problem for Vasicek model driven by a general Gaussian process. We construct a least squares estimator and a moment estimator for the drift parameters of the Vasicek model, and we prove the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Xingzhi Pei

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

In this paper, we show how the sampling properties of the Hurst exponent methods of estimation change with the presence of heavy tails. We run extensive Monte Carlo simulations to find out how rescaled range analysis (R/S), multifractal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-24 Jozef Barunik , Ladislav Kristoufek

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

Based on Malliavin calculus tools and approximation results, we show how to compute a maximum likelihood type estimator for a rather general differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2. Rates of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Samy Tindel

We investigate the use of the Hurst exponent, dynamically computed over a moving time-window, to evaluate the level of stability/instability of financial firms. Financial firms bailed-out as a consequence of the 2007-2010 credit crisis show…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-24 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Ruggero Gramatica , Tomaso Aste

In [Han \& Schied, 2023, \textit{arXiv 2307.02582}], an easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

Modelling time-varying and frequency-specific relationships between two brain signals is becoming an essential methodological tool to answer heoretical questions in experimental neuroscience. In this article, we propose to estimate a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-16 Sezen Cekic , Didier Grandjean , Olivier Renaud

Using structures of Abstract Wiener Spaces, we define a fractional Brownian field indexed by a product space $(0,1/2] \times L^2(T,m)$, $(T,m)$ a separable measure space, where the first coordinate corresponds to the Hurst parameter of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Alexandre Richard

In the first paper of this series, I investigated whether a wavefunction model of a heavy particle and a collection of light particles might generate "Brownian-Motion-Like" trajectories of the heavy particle. I concluded that it was…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-04 W. David Wick

Overdamped motion of Brownian particles in tilted piecewise linear periodic potentials is considered. Explicit algebraic expressions for the diffusion coefficient, current, and coherence level of Brownian transport are derived. Their…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Els Heinsalu , Risto Tammelo , Teet Ord

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We study the long-time, large scale transport in a three-parameter family of isotropic, incompressible velocity fields with power-law spectra. Scaling law for transport is characterized by the scaling exponent $q$ and the Hurst exponent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Albert C. Fannjiang