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We consider stochastic differential equation involving pathwise integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion. The estimates for the Hurst parameter are constructed according to first- and second-order quadratic variations of observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-28 K. Kubilius , Y. Mishura

In this study, we develop a new theory of estimating Hurst parame- ter using conic multivariate adaptive regression splines (CMARS) method. We concentrate on the strong solution of stochastic differentional equations (SDEs) driven by…

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst parameter of solutions of stochastic differential equations are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

We study fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by the Hurst exponent H. Using a Monte Carlo sampling technique, we are able to numerically generate fBm processes with an absorbing boundary at the origin at discrete times for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Brownian motion is the only random process which is Gaussian, stationary and Markovian. Dropping the Markovian property, i.e. allowing for memory, one obtains a class of processes called fractional Brownian motion, indexed by the Hurst…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-27 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov

This paper introduces a general and new formalism to model the turbulent wave-front phase using fractional Brownian motion processes. Moreover, it extends results to non-Kolmogorov turbulence. In particular, generalized expressions for the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Dario G. Perez , Luciano Zunino , Mario Garavaglia

Here, we provide a unified framework for numerical analysis of stochastic nonlinear fractional diffusion equation driven by fractional Gaussian noise with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. A novel estimate of the second moment of the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Daxin Nie , Weihua Deng

Linear Fractional Stable Motion (LFSM) of Hurst parameter $H$ and of stability parameter $\al$, is one of the most classical extensions of the well-known Gaussian Fractional Brownian Motion (FBM), to the setting of heavy-tailed stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

The fractional Brownian motion with index $\alpha$ is introduced to construct the fractional excursion set model. A new mass function with single parameter $\alpha$ is derived within the formalism, of which the Press-Schechter mass function…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jun Pan

We analyse a class of estimators of the generalized diffusion coefficient for fractional Brownian motion $B_t$ of known Hurst index $H$, based on weighted functionals of the single time square displacement. We show that for a certain choice…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Denis Boyer , David S. Dean , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio , Gleb Oshanin

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

The scaled Brownian motion (SBM) is regarded as one of the paradigmatic random processes, featuring the anomalous diffusion property characterized by the diffusion exponent. It is a Gaussian, self-similar process with independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Hubert Woszczek , Aleksei Chechkin , Agnieszka Wylomanska

Turbulence is a dominant feature operating in gaseous flows across nearly all scales in astrophysical environments. Accordingly, accurately estimating the statistical properties of such flows is necessary for developing a comprehensive…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-27 Lukas Konstandin , Rahul Shetty , Philipp Girichidis , Ralf S. Klessen

Stochastic models with fractional Brownian motion as source of randomness have become popular since the early 2000s. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a Gaussian process, whose covariance depends on the so-called Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Anna P. Kwossek , Andreas Neuenkirch , David J. Prömel

Consider the fractional Brownian Motion (fBM) $B^H=\{B^H(t): t \in [0,1] \}$ with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$. We construct a probability space supporting both $B^H$ and a fully simulatable process $\hat B_{\epsilon}^H $ such that $$\sup_{t\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Yi Chen , Jing Dong , Hao Ni

We construct and study branching fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. The construction relies on a generalization of the discrete approximation of fractional Brownian motion (Hammond and Sheffield, Probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Adrián González Casanova , Jan Lukas Igelbrink

In this presentation, we introduce a new method for change point analysis on the Hurst index for a piecewise fractional Brownian motion. We first set the model and the statistical problem. The proposed method is a transposition of the FDpV…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre R. Bertrand