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In this paper, we study the recovery of the Hurst parameter from a given discrete sample of fractional Brownian motion with statistical inverse theory. In particular, we show that in the limit the posteriori distribution of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Lassi Päivärinta , Petteri Piiroinen

Operator fractional Brownian motion (OFBM) is the natural vector-valued extension of the univariate fractional Brownian motion. Instead of a scalar parameter, the law of an OFBM scales according to a Hurst matrix that affects every…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier

Hurst Exponent has been widely used in different fields as a measure of long range dependence in time series. It has been studied in hydrology and geophysics, economics and finance, and recently, it is still a hot topic in the different…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-24 Roel F. Ceballos , Fe F. Largo

There is much confusion in the literature over Hurst exponent (H). The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the difference between fractional Brownian motion (fBm) on the one hand and Gaussian Markov processes where H is different to 1/2…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-10 G. Millán

We investigate here the Central Limit Theorem of the Increment Ratio Statistic of a multifractional Brownian motion, leading to a CLT for the time varying Hurst index. The proofs are quite simple relying on Breuer-Major theorems and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Pierre R. Bertrand , Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this contribution, we extend the methodology proposed in Abry and Didier (2017) to obtain the first joint estimator of the real parts of the Hurst eigenvalues of $n$-variate OFBM. The procedure consists of a wavelet regression on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-14 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier

The conventional formal tool to detect effects of the financial persistence is in terms of the Hurst exponent. A typical corresponding result is that its value comes out close to 0.5, as characteristic for geometric Brownian motion, with at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Rak , S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka

Let $\{b_H(t),t\in\mathbb{R}\}$ be the fractional Brownian motion with parameter $0<H<1$. When $1/2<H$, we consider diffusion equations of the type \[X(t)=c+\int_0^t\sigma\bigl(X(u)\bigr)\mathrm {d}b_H(u)+\int _0^t\mu\bigl(X(u)\bigr)\mathrm…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Corinne Berzin , José R. León

Rough volatility models have gained considerable interest in the quantitative finance community in recent years. In this paradigm, the volatility of the asset price is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a small value for the Hurst…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion from continuous time noisy sample. Consistent estimation in the setup under consideration is possible only if either the length of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-09 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

Hilbert-Huang transform is a method that has been introduced recently to decompose nonlinear, nonstationary time series into a sum of different modes, each one having a characteristic frequency. Here we show the first successful application…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-02-05 Y. X. Huang , Francois G. Schmitt , Z. M. Lu , Y. L. Liu

We introduce the stochastic process of incremental multifractional Brownian motion (IMFBM), which locally behaves like fractional Brownian motion with a given local Hurst exponent and diffusivity. When these parameters change as function of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-27 Jakub Slezak , Ralf Metzler

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

In this paper, three approaches to calculate the self-similarity exponent of a time series are compared in order to determine which one performs best to identify the transition from random efficient market behavior (EM) to herding behavior…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-08 M. Fernández-Martínez , M. A Sánchez-Granero , María José Muñoz Torrecillas , Bill McKelvey

We show by explicit closed form calculations that a Hurst exponent H that is not 1/2 does not necessarily imply long time correlations like those found in fractional Brownian motion. We construct a large set of scaling solutions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne , Joseph L. McCauley

We study the parameter estimation problem of Vasicek Model driven by sub-fractional Brownian processes from discrete observations, and let {S_t^H,t>=0} denote a sub-fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst parameter 1/2<H<1 . The studies are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Cuiyun Zhang , Jingjun Guo , Aiqin Ma , Bo Peng

This article explores the required amount of time series points from a high-speed computer network to accurately estimate the Hurst exponent. The methodology consists in designing an experiment using estimators that are applied to time…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Ginno Millán , Román Osorio-Comparán , Gastón Lefranc

The well-posedness is investigated for distribution dependent stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (\ff {\sq 5-1} 2,1)$ and distribution dependent multiplicative noise. To this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Xiliang Fan , Shao-Qin Zhang

The fractional Brownian motion can be considered as a Gaussian field indexed by $(t,H)\in {\mathbb{R}_{+}\times (0,1)}$, where $H$ is the Hurst parameter. On compact time intervals, it is known to be almost surely jointly H\"older…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard