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The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We give a lower bound on the probability of error in quantum state discrimination. The bound is a weighted sum of the pairwise fidelities of the states to be distinguished.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-15 Ashley Montanaro

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

We introduce linear programs encoding regular expressions of finite languages. We show that, given a language, the optimum value of the associated linear program is a lower bound on the size of any regular expression of the language.…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-08 Hamoon Mousavi

While useful probability bounds for $n$ pairwise independent Bernoulli random variables adding up to at least an integer $k$ have been proposed in the literature, none of these bounds are tight in general. In this paper, we provide several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

Let $P$ be a polynomial of degree $d$ in independent Bernoulli random variables which has zero mean and unit variance. The Bonami hypercontractivity bound implies that the probability that $|P| > t$ decays exponentially in $t^{2/d}$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Bo'az Klartag , Sasha Sodin

An important tool to quantify the likeness of two probability measures are f-divergences, which have seen widespread application in statistics and information theory. An example is the total variation, which plays an exceptional role among…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-11 Jochen Bröcker

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean functions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. We call this approach dissociation and give an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

In this paper, we develop a general approach for probabilistic estimation and optimization. An explicit formula and a computational approach are established for controlling the reliability of probabilistic estimation based on a mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Xinjia Chen

We show a general lower bound for Mean-value of Dirichlet polynomials

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michel Weber

In this paper, lower bounds on the probability of a finite union of events are considered, i.e. $P\left(\bigcup_{i=1}^N A_i\right)$, in terms of the individual event probabilities $\{P(A_i), i=1,\ldots,N\}$ and the sums of the pairwise…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Jun Yang , Fady Alajaji , Glen Takahara

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

We consider the problem of bounding away from 0 the minimum value m taken by a polynomial P of Z[X_1,...,X_k] over the standard simplex, assuming that m>0. Recent algorithmic developments in real algebraic geometry enable us to obtain a…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2009-02-20 Saugata Basu , Richard Leroy , Marie-Francoise Roy

We derive two conditional expectation bounds, which we use to simplify cryptographic security proofs. The first bound relates the expectation of a bounded random variable and the average of its conditional expectations with respect to a set…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Kevin J. Compton

We present a construction of 1-perfect binary codes, which gives a new lower bound on the number of such codes. We conjecture that this lower bound is asymptotically tight.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Denis Krotov , Sergey Avgustinovich