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Bounds of the accuracy of the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of independent random variables are improved under relaxed moment conditions, in particular, under the absence of moments of orders higher than the second.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-06 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

We study the bias of random bounded-degree polynomials over odd prime fields and show that, with probability exponentially close to 1, such polynomials have exponentially small bias. This also yields an exponential tail bound on the weight…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Paul Beame , Shayan Oveis Gharan , Xin Yang

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

Causal analysis may be affected by selection bias, which is defined as the systematic exclusion of data from a certain subpopulation. Previous work in this area focused on the derivation of identifiability conditions. We propose instead a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-03 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas , David Huber , Dario Azzimonti

The Barankin bound is generalized to the vector case in the mean square error sense. Necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained to achieve the lower bound. To obtain the result, a simple finite dimensional real vector valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-03 Bruno Cernuschi-Frias

We consider bounds on the generalization performance of the least-norm linear regressor, in the over-parameterized regime where it can interpolate the data. We describe a sense in which any generalization bound of a type that is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-19 Peter L. Bartlett , Philip M. Long

Minimizing divergence measures under a constraint is an important problem. We derive a sufficient condition that binary divergence measures provide lower bounds for symmetric divergence measures under a given triangular discrimination or…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Tomohiro Nishiyama

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael Kearns , Lawrence Saul

We obtain approximation results for general positive linear operators satisfying mild conditions, when acting on discontinuous functions and absolutely continuous functions having discontinuous derivatives. The upper bounds, given in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 José A. Adell , P. Garrancho , F. J. Martínez-Sánchez

We establish an upper bound on the tails of a random variable that arises as a solution of a stochastic difference equation. In the non--negative case our bound is similar to a lower bound obtained by Goldie and Gr\"ubel in 1996.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-12 Pawel Hitczenko

Let $A_1, A_2, \ldots, A_n$ be events in a sample space. Given the probability of the intersection of each collection of up to $k+1$ of these events, what can we say about the probability that at least $r$ of the events occur? This question…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Ilan Adler , Richard M. Karp , Sheldon M. Ross

In this paper, we obtain the upper and lower bounds for two inequalities related to the range statistics. The first one is concerning the one-variable case and the second one is about the bivariate case.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Tsung-Lin Cheng , Chin-Yuan Hu

We identify a new notion of pseudorandomness for randomness sources, which we call the average bias. Given a distribution $Z$ over $\{0,1\}^n$, its average bias is: $b_{\text{av}}(Z) =2^{-n} \sum_{c \in \{0,1\}^n} |\mathbb{E}_{z \sim…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Philips George John , Suprovat Ghoshal , Raghu Meka

We consider regularly varying random vectors. Our goal is to estimate in a non-parametric way some characteristics related to conditioning on an extreme event, like the tail dependence coefficient. We introduce a quasi-spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-26 Rafał Kulik , Zhigang Tong

Techniques for decision making with knowledge of linear constraints on condition probabilities are examined. These constraints arise naturally in many situations: upper and lower condition probabilities are known; an ordering among the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Michael Pittarelli

For functions of independent random variables, various upper and lower variance bounds are revisited in diverse settings. These are then specialized to the Bernoulli, Gaussian, infinitely divisible cases and to Banach space valued random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Clément Deslandes , Christian Houdré

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-14 S. Y. Novak

There are many ways of establishing upper bounds on fluctuations of random variables, but there is no systematic approach for lower bounds. As a result, lower bounds are unknown in many important problems. This paper introduces a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Sourav Chatterjee
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