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Firth-type logistic regression has become a standard approach for the analysis of binary outcomes with small samples. Whereas it reduces the bias in maximum likelihood estimates of coefficients, bias towards 1/2 is introduced in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Rainer Puhr , Georg Heinze , Mariana Nold , Lara Lusa , Angelika Geroldinger

Jing (1995) and Liu et al. (2008) studied the two-sample empirical likelihood and showed it is Bartlett correctable for the univariate and multivariate cases, respectively. We expand its domain to the full parameter space and obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-21 Fan Wu , Min Tsao

Generalized linear mixed models are useful in studying hierarchical data with possibly non-Gaussian responses. However, the intractability of likelihood functions poses challenges for estimation. We develop a new method suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

Indirect Inference (I-I) is a popular technique for estimating complex parametric models whose likelihood function is intractable, however, the statistical efficiency of I-I estimation is questionable. While the efficient method of moments,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-19 Veronika Czellar , David T. Frazier , Eric Renault

Empirical risk minimization is a standard principle for choosing algorithms in learning theory. In this paper we study the properties of empirical risk minimization for time series. The analysis is carried out in a general framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Christian Brownlees , Jordi Llorens-Terrazas

Bayesian inference provides a flexible way of combining data with prior information. However, quantile regression is not equipped with a parametric likelihood, and therefore, Bayesian inference for quantile regression demands careful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Yunwen Yang , Xuming He

It is generally accepted that many time series of practical interest exhibit strong dependence, i.e., long memory. For such series, the sample autocorrelations decay slowly and log-log periodogram plots indicate a straight-line…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rohit Deo , Meng-Chen Hsieh , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

We introduce a new adjusted residual maximum likelihood method (REML) in the context of producing an empirical Bayes (EB) confidence interval for a normal mean, a problem of great interest in different small area applications. Like other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Masayo Yoshimori , Partha Lahiri

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Weichang Yu , Howard D. Bondell

Posterior inference with an intractable likelihood is becoming an increasingly common task in scientific domains which rely on sophisticated computer simulations. Typically, these forward models do not admit tractable densities forcing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Joeri Hermans , Volodimir Begy , Gilles Louppe

We propose the so-called jackknife empirical likelihood approach for the survey data of general unequal probability sampling designs, and analyze parameters defined according to U-statistics. We prove theoretically that jackknife…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Mengdong Shang , Xia Chen

This paper investigates the use of bootstrap-based bias correction of semi-parametric estimators of the long memory parameter in fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method involves the application of the sieve bootstrap to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-28 D. S. Poskitt , Gael M. Martin , Simone D. Grose

We show that a maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation in agent-based models (ABMs) of opinion dynamics outperforms the typical simulation-based approach. Simulation-based approaches simulate the model repeatedly in search of a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jacopo Lenti , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

In this work we propose a new class of long-memory models with time-varying fractional parameter. In particular, the dynamics of the long-memory coefficient, $d$, is specified through a stochastic recurrence equation driven by the score of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-19 Luisa Bisaglia , Matteo Grigoletto

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Empirical-likelihood-based confidence intervals for a mean were introduced by Owen [Biometrika 75 (1988) 237-249], where at least a finite second moment is required. This excludes some important distributions, for example, those in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Liang Peng

This paper introduces a first implementation of a novel likelihood-ratio-based approach for constructing confidence intervals for neural networks. Our method, called DeepLR, offers several qualitative advantages: most notably, the ability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-07 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes