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Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

Clustering methods must be tailored to the dataset it operates on, as there is no objective or universal definition of ``cluster,'' but nevertheless arbitrariness in the clustering method must be minimized. This paper develops a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Brian Weber

Clustering large, mixed data is a central problem in data mining. Many approaches adopt the idea of k-means, and hence are sensitive to initialisation, detect only spherical clusters, and require a priori the unknown number of clusters. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-13 Joshua Tobin , Mimi Zhang

We use a cluster ensemble to determine the number of clusters, k, in a group of data. A consensus similarity matrix is formed from the ensemble using multiple algorithms and several values for k. A random walk is induced on the graph…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-06 Shaina Race , Carl Meyer , Kevin Valakuzhy

In this paper, we introduce the Dynamic Modularity-Spectral Algorithm (DynMSA), a novel approach to identify clusters of stocks with high intra-cluster correlations and low inter-cluster correlations by combining Random Matrix Theory with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Philipp Wirth , Francesca Medda , Thomas Schröder

Portfolio optimization is a challenging problem that has attracted considerable attention and effort from researchers. The optimization of stock portfolios is a particularly hard problem since the stock prices are volatile and estimation of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

This study seeks to advance the understanding and prediction of stock market return uncertainty through the application of advanced deep learning techniques. We introduce a novel deep learning model that utilizes a Gaussian mixture…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

We study structural clustering on graphs in dynamic scenarios, where the graphs can be updated by arbitrary insertions or deletions of edges/vertices. The goal is to efficiently compute structural clustering results for any clustering…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Zhuowei Zhao , Junhao Gan , Boyu Ruan , Zhifeng Bao , Jianzhong Qi , Sibo Wang

An analysis of the stylized facts in financial time series is carried out. We find that, instead of the heavy tails in asset return distributions, the slow decay behaviour in autocorrelation functions of absolute returns is actually…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Jie-Jun Tseng , Sai-Ping Li

We show that modularity, a quantity introduced in the study of networked systems, can be generalized and used in the clustering problem as an indicator for the quality of the solution. The introduction of this measure arises very naturally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Angelini , D. Marinazzo , M. Pellicoro , S. Stramaglia

Our research presents a new approach for forecasting the synchronization of stock prices using machine learning and non-linear time-series analysis. To capture the complex non-linear relationships between stock prices, we utilize recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Sanjay Sathish , Charu C Sharma

We aim to cluster financial assets in order to identify a small set of stocks to approximate the level of diversification of the whole universe of stocks. We develop a data-driven approach to clustering based on a correlation blockmodel in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-16 Wenpin Tang , Xiao Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Death benefits are generally the largest cash flow item that affects financial statements of life insurers where some still do not have a systematic process to track and monitor death claims experience. In this article, we explore data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-27 Shuang Yin , Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez , Jeyaraj Vadiveloo

Network clustering reveals the organization of a network or corresponding complex system with elements represented as vertices and interactions as edges in a (directed, weighted) graph. Although the notion of clustering can be somewhat…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Yongjin Park , Joel S. Bader

Large-scale deployment of smart meters has made it possible to collect sufficient and high-resolution data of residential electric demand profiles. Clustering analysis of these profiles is important to further analyze and comment on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Mayank Jain , Tarek AlSkaif , Soumyabrata Dev

By analyzing a large data set of daily returns with data clustering technique, we identify economic sectors as clusters of assets with a similar economic dynamics. The sector size distribution follows Zipf's law. Secondly, we find that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Matteo Marsili

Being able to forcast extreme volatility is a central issue in financial risk management. We present a large volatility predicting method based on the distribution of recurrence intervals between volatilities exceeding a certain threshold…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Askery A. Canabarro , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley , Wei-Xing Zhou

Econophysics and econometrics agree that there is a correlation between volume and volatility in a time series. Using empirical data and their distributions, we further investigate this correlation and discover new ways that volatility and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Zeyu Zheng , Zhi Qiao , Joel N. Tenenbaum , H. Eugene Stanley , Baowen Li

A natural way to characterize the cluster structure of a dataset is by finding regions containing a high density of data. This can be done in a nonparametric way with a kernel density estimate, whose modes and hence clusters can be found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Miguel Á. Carreira-Perpiñán

Assessment of risk levels for existing credit accounts is important to the implementation of bank policies and offering financial products. This paper uses cluster analysis of behaviour of credit card accounts to help assess credit risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-13 Maha Bakoben , Tony Bellotti , Niall Adams