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In this paper, we present a novel trading strategy that integrates reinforcement learning methods with clustering techniques for portfolio management in multi-period trading. Specifically, we leverage the clustering method to categorize…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Zhengyong Jiang , Jeyan Thiayagalingam , Jionglong Su , Jinjun Liang

The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

Market conditions change continuously. However, in portfolio's investment strategies, it is hard to account for this intrinsic non-stationarity. In this paper, we propose to address this issue by using the Inverse Covariance Clustering…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Yuanrong Wang , Tomaso Aste

One basic requirement of many studies is the necessity of classifying data. Clustering is a proposed method for summarizing networks. Clustering methods can be divided into two categories named model-based approaches and algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-19 Raheleh Namayandeh , Farzad Didehvar , Zahra Shojaei

In this work, the possibility of clustering correlated random variables was examined, both because of their mutual similarity and because of their similarity to the principal components. The k-means algorithm and spectral algorithms were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Zenon Gniazdowski , Dawid Kaliszewski

Stochastic Dominance (SD) theory provides a rigorous framework for selecting superior assets tailored to the asset allocation needs of investors with varying risk preferences (i.e., risk-averse, risk-seeking, and risk-neutral). However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Hua Li , Xue Jia , Yilin Kang , Wing-Keung Wong

In this paper we examine the relation between market returns and volatility measures through machine learning methods in a high-frequency environment. We implement a minute-by-minute rolling window intraday estimation method using two…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-03 Iuri H. Ferreira , Marcelo C. Medeiros

Comparison of three kind of the clustering and find cost function and loss function and calculate them. Error rate of the clustering methods and how to calculate the error percentage always be one on the important factor for evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-14 Kamran Kowsari

One of the major issues studied in finance that has always intrigued, both scholars and practitioners, and to which no unified theory has yet been discovered, is the reason why prices move over time. Since there are several well-known…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Sonia R. Bentes , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Erniel B. Barrios , Paolo Victor T. Redondo

Optimizing portfolio performance is a fundamental challenge in financial modeling, requiring the integration of advanced clustering techniques and data-driven optimization strategies. This paper introduces a comparative backtesting approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Keon Vin Park

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment of the agreement between the estimated risks and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lasai Barreñada , Bavo D. C. Campo , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

It is widely believed that fluctuations in transaction volume, as reflected in the number of transactions and to a lesser extent their size, are the main cause of clustered volatility. Under this view bursts of rapid or slow price diffusion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Laszlo Gillemot , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

We explore the utility of clustering in reducing error in various prediction tasks. Previous work has hinted at the improvement in prediction accuracy attributed to clustering algorithms if used to pre-process the data. In this work we more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Shubhendu Trivedi , Zachary A. Pardos , Neil T. Heffernan

Motivated by the problem of computing investment portfolio weightings we investigate various methods of clustering as alternatives to traditional mean-variance approaches. Such methods can have significant benefits from a practical point of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Aldo Pacchiano , Oliver Williams

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

A popular method for selecting the number of clusters is based on stability arguments: one chooses the number of clusters such that the corresponding clustering results are "most stable". In recent years, a series of papers has analyzed the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-08 Ulrike von Luxburg

This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Jinhui Li , Wenjia Xie , Luis Seco