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Random walks (or Markov chains) are models extensively used in theoretical computer science. Several tools, including analysis of quantities such as hitting and mixing times, are helpful for devising randomized algorithms. A notable example…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 Lorenzo Laneve , Francesco Tacchino , Ivano Tavernelli

We study the exploration of an Erd\"os-R\'enyi random graph by a respondent-driven sampling method, where discovered vertices reveal their neighbours. Some of them receive coupons to reveal in their turn their own neighbourhood. This leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Anthony Cousien , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Viet Chi Tran , Thi Phuong Thuy Vo

A state-dependent 1-limited polling model with N queues is analyzed. The routing strategy generalizes the classical Markovian polling model, in the sense that two routing matrices are involved, the choice being made according to the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-16 Guy Fayolle , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes

Probabilistic model checking mainly concentrates on techniques for reasoning about the probabilities of certain path properties or expected values of certain random variables. For the quantitative system analysis, however, there is also…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-01-11 Michael Ummels , Christel Baier

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is the first theory for decision-making under uncertainty that combines full theoretical soundness and empirically realistic features [P.P. Wakker - Prospect theory: For risk and ambiguity, Page 2]. While…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Thomas Brihaye , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Stefanie Mohr , Maximilian Weininger

The problem of making sequential decisions in unknown probabilistic environments is studied. In cycle $t$ action $y_t$ results in perception $x_t$ and reward $r_t$, where all quantities in general may depend on the complete history. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

Consider a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions $\{\Psi_n\}_{n \geq 0}$. Using this sequence we can define a Markov chain via the recursive formula $R_{n+1} = \Psi_{n+1}(R_n)$. It is a well known fact that under some mild moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Piotr Dyszewski

The literature on Bayesian methods for the analysis of discrete-time semi-Markov processes is sparse. In this paper, we introduce the semi-Markov beta-Stacy process, a stochastic process useful for the Bayesian non-parametric analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Andrea Arfè , Stefano Peluso , Pietro Muliere

Decision-making often involves ranking and selection. For example, to assemble a team of political forecasters, we might begin by narrowing our choice set to the candidates we are confident rank among the top 10% in forecasting ability.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-04 Dillon Bowen

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

The Schulze voting method aggregates voter preference data using maxmin-weight graph paths, achieving the Condorcet property that a candidate who would win every head-to-head contest will also win the overall election. Once the voter…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Arushi Arora , David Eppstein , Randy Le Huynh

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

In this paper, we consider robust control using randomized algorithms. We extend the existing order statistics distribution theory to the general case in which the distribution of population is not assumed to be continuous and the order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

For $2\le k\in\mathbb{N}$, consider the following adaptation of the classical secretary problem. There are $k$ items at each of $n$ linearly ordered ranks. The $kn$ items are revealed, one item at a time, in a uniformly random order, to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Ross G. Pinsky

The voter model is a classical interacting particle system, modelling how global consensus is formed by local imitation. We analyse the time to consensus for a particular family of voter models when the underlying structure is a scale-free…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-11 John Fernley

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Higher-order Markov chains play a very important role in many fields, ranging from multilinear PageRank to financial modeling. In this paper, we propose three accelerated higher-order power methods for computing the limiting probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Gaohang Yu , Yi Zhou , Laishui Lv

Most Markov chain Monte Carlo methods operate in discrete time and are reversible with respect to the target probability. Nevertheless, it is now understood that the use of non-reversible Markov chains can be beneficial in many contexts. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery
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