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Related papers: Measuring burstiness for finite event sequences

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Bursty dynamics characterizes systems that evolve through short active periods of several events, which are separated by long periods of inactivity. Systems with such temporal heterogeneities are not only found in nature but also include…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-19 Márton Karsai , Hang-Hyun Jo

The dynamics of a wide range of real systems, from email patterns to earthquakes, display a bursty, intermittent nature, characterized by short timeframes of intensive activity followed by long times of no or reduced activity. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kwang-Il Goh , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Bursty dynamics is a common temporal property of various complex systems in Nature but it also characterises the dynamics of human actions and interactions. At the phenomenological level it is a feature of all systems that evolve…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-08 Márton Karsai , Hang-Hyun Jo , Kimmo Kaski

Temporal inhomogeneities observed in various natural and social phenomena have often been characterized in terms of scaling behaviors in the autocorrelation function with a decaying exponent $\gamma$, the interevent time distribution with a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 Byoung-Hwa Lee , Woo-Sung Jung , Hang-Hyun Jo

The use of rapidity gaps is proposed as a measure of the spatial pattern of an event. When the event multiplicity is low, the gaps between neighboring particles carry far more information about an event than multiplicity spikes, which may…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolph C. Hwa , Qing-hui Zhang

Understanding the temporal properties of longitudinal data is critical for identifying trends, predicting future events, and making informed decisions in any field where temporal data is analysed, including health and epidemiology, finance,…

Inhomogeneous temporal processes, like those appearing in human communications, neuron spike trains, and seismic signals, consist of high-activity bursty intervals alternating with long low-activity periods. In recent studies such bursty…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-01 Márton Karsai , Kimmo Kaski , Albert-László Barabási , János Kertész

Complexity researchers view burstiness--fluctuating levels of activity--as evidence of hidden interactions within the system generating the activity signal. Yet, current burstiness metrics miss evidence of burstiness in some moderately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-08 Joshua Z. Stadlan , Michelle Birkett , Jason H. Rife

Characterizing bursty temporal interaction patterns of temporal networks is crucial to investigate the evolution of temporal networks as well as various collective dynamics taking place in them. The temporal interaction patterns have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-31 Hang-Hyun Jo , Takayuki Hiraoka

One of the classic data mining tasks is to discover bursts, time intervals, where events occur at abnormally high rate. In this paper we revisit Kleinberg's seminal work, where bursts are discovered by using exponential distribution with a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Nikolaj Tatti

Temporal correlations in the time series observed in various systems have been characterized by the autocorrelation function. Such correlations can be explained by heavy-tailed interevent time distributions as well as by correlations…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Min-ho Yu , Hang-Hyun Jo

We report an inconsistency found in probability theory (also referred to as measure-theoretic probability). For probability measures induced by real-valued random variables, we deduce an "equality" such that one side of the "equality" is a…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Guang-Liang Li , Victor O. K. Li

Given a stationary point process, an intensity burst is defined as a short time period during which the number of counts is larger than the typical count rate. It might signal a local non-stationarity or the presence of an external…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-04 Marcello Rambaldi , Vladimir Filimonov , Fabrizio Lillo

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud

Multiple metrics have been developed to detect causality relations between data describing the elements constituting complex systems, all of them considering their evolution through time. Here we propose a metric able to detect causality…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-20 Massimiliano Zanin

A discrete-time random process is described which can generate bursty sequences of events. A Bernoulli process, where the probability of an event occurring at time $t$ is given by a fixed probability $x$, is modified to include a memory…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-29 Ewan R. Colman , Danica Vukadinović Greetham

Heteroskedasticity is a statistical anomaly that describes differing variances of error terms in a time series dataset. The presence of heteroskedasticity in data imposes serious challenges for forecasting models and many statistical tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Marwa Hassan , Mo Hossny , Douglas Creighton , Saeid Nahavandi

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

We present a new framework for modeling the statistical behavior of both fully developed turbulence and short-term dynamics of financial markets based on the nonextensive thermostatistics proposed by Tsallis. We also show that intermittency…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 F. M. Ramos , C. Rodrigues Neto , R. R. Rosa
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