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Current post-trade clearing systems rely almost exclusively on cash or cash-like collateral, leaving vast reserves of short-term liquidity embedded in trade credit outside formal settlement infrastructures. A key barrier to integrating this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-05 Tomaž Fleischman , Ethan Buchman

We design a system for risk-analyzing and pricing portfolios of non-performing consumer credit loans. The rapid development of credit lending business for consumers heightens the need for trading portfolios formed by overdue loans as a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-29 Siyi Wang , Xing Yan , Bangqi Zheng , Hu Wang , Wangli Xu , Nanbo Peng , Qi Wu

A model is developed to assess the profitability of loans or mortgages with a specified repayment schedule. Financial institutions face two competing risks: default and prepayment, both influenced by the stochastic evolution of credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-12 Quirini Lorenzo , Vannucci Luigi , Quirini Giovanni

A counterparty credit limit (CCL) is a limit that is imposed by a financial institution to cap its maximum possible exposure to a specified counterparty. CCLs help institutions to mitigate counterparty credit risk via selective…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Martin D. Gould , Nikolaus Hautsch , Sam D. Howison , Mason A. Porter

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai

Following several episodes of financial market turmoil in recent decades, changes in systemic risk have drawn growing attention. Therefore, we propose surveillance schemes for systemic risk, which allow to detect misspecified systemic risk…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

Recently, incomplete-market techniques have been used to develop a model applicable to credit default swaps (CDSs) with results obtained that are quite different from those obtained using the market-standard model. This article makes use of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-11 Michael B. Walker

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

In the realm of globalized financial markets, commercial banks are confronted with an escalating magnitude of credit risk, thereby imposing heightened requisites upon the security of bank assets and financial stability. This study harnesses…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-31 Yu Cheng , Qin Yang , Liyang Wang , Ao Xiang , Jingyu Zhang

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-11 Xuqing Huang , Irena Vodenska , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-17 Damiano Brigo , Marco Tarenghi

This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-02 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

We study a simple, solvable model that allows us to investigate effects of credit contagion on the default probability of individual firms, in both portfolios of firms and on an economy wide scale. While the effect of interactions may be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

In normal times, it is assumed that financial institutions operating in non-overlapping sectors have complementary and distinct outcomes, typically reflected in mostly uncorrelated outcomes and asset returns. Such is the reasoning behind…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-19 Sayuj Choudhari , Richard Licheng Zhu

Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-23 Aymeric Vié , Alfredo J. Morales

This paper introduces a novel framework to study default dependence and systemic risk in a financial network that evolves over time. We analyse several indicators of risk, and develop a new latent space model to assess the health of key…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-02 Laleh Tafakori , Armin Pourkhanali , Riccardo Rastelli

Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

The use of CVA to cover credit risk is widely spread, but has its limitations. Namely, dealers face the problem of the illiquidity of instruments used for hedging it, hence forced to warehouse credit risk. As a result, dealers tend to offer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Lucia Cipolina-Kun , Ignacio Ruiz , Mariano Zero-Medina Laris
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