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Statistical physics approaches can be used to derive accurate predictions for the performance of inference methods learning from potentially noisy data, as quantified by the learning curve defined as the average error versus number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-07 Matthew J. Urry , Peter Sollich

We consider the task of learning a dynamical system from high-dimensional time-course data. For instance, we might wish to estimate a gene regulatory network from gene expression data measured at discrete time points. We model the dynamical…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Shizhe Chen , Ali Shojaie , Daniela M. Witten

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

With our ability to record more neurons simultaneously, making sense of these data is a challenge. Functional connectivity is one popular way to study the relationship between multiple neural signals. Correlation-based methods are a set of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-09 Tiger W. Lin , Anup Das , Giri P. Krishnan , Maxim Bazhenov , Terrence J. Sejnowski

A common task is the determination of system parameters from spectroscopy, where one compares the experimental spectrum with calculated spectra, that depend on the desired parameters. Here we discuss an approach based on a machine learning…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-04 Farhad Taher-Ghahramani , Fulu Zheng , Alexander Eisfeld

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Obstacle-aware trajectory navigation is crucial for many systems. For example, in real-world navigation tasks, an agent must avoid obstacles, such as furniture in a room, while planning a trajectory. Gaussian Process (GP) regression, in its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Gaurav Shrivastava

We address the problem of prediction of multivariate data process using an underlying graph model. We develop a method that learns a sparse partial correlation graph in a tuning-free and computationally efficient manner. Specifically, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Arun Venkitaraman , Dave Zachariah

We consider drawing statistical inferences based on data subject to non-Gaussian measurement error. Unlike most existing methods developed under the assumption of Gaussian measurement error, the proposed strategy exploits hypercomplex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Nicholas W. Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang

Testing fairness is a major concern in psychometric and educational research. A typical approach for ensuring testing fairness is through differential item functioning (DIF) analysis. DIF arises when a test item functions differently across…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-02 Ling Chen , Susu Zhang , Jingchen Liu

This paper presents a new fuel cycle benchmarking analysis methodology by coupling Gaussian process regression, a popular technique in Machine Learning, to dynamic time warping, a mechanism widely used in speech recognition. Together they…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-12-01 Anthony Michael Scopatz

This paper presents a unified treatment of Gaussian process models that extends to data from the exponential dispersion family and to survival data. Our specific interest is in the analysis of data sets with predictors that have an a priori…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Terrance Savitsky , Marina Vannucci , Naijun Sha

We present a framework for transfer learning based on modular variational Gaussian processes (GP). We develop a module-based method that having a dictionary of well fitted GPs, one could build ensemble GP models without revisiting any data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

This report provides an introduction to algorithms for fundamental linear algebra problems on various parallel computer architectures, with the emphasis on distributed-memory MIMD machines. To illustrate the basic concepts and key issues,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Richard P. Brent

We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

A major challenge for machine learning is increasing the availability of data while respecting the privacy of individuals. Here we combine the provable privacy guarantees of the differential privacy framework with the flexibility of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-18 Michael Thomas Smith , Max Zwiessele , Neil D. Lawrence