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In recent years, some researchers have applied diffusion models to multivariate time series anomaly detection. The partial diffusion strategy, which depends on the diffusion steps, is commonly used for anomaly detection in these models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Guangqiang Wu , Fu Zhang

Unsupervised learning on imbalanced data is challenging because, when given imbalanced data, current model is often dominated by the major category and ignores the categories with small amount of data. We develop a latent variable model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Fariba Yousefi , Zhenwen Dai , Carl Henrik Ek , Neil Lawrence

In this paper, we extend graph-based identification methods by allowing background knowledge in the form of non-zero parameter values. Such information could be obtained, for example, from a previously conducted randomized experiment, from…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Bryant Chen , Judea Pearl , Elias Bareinboim

Measurement noise is an integral part while collecting data of a physical process. Thus, noise removal is necessary to draw conclusions from these data, and it often becomes essential to construct dynamical models using these data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

We propose an extensive simulation study to compare some variable selection procedures in a high-dimensional framework. Assuming that the relationship between the actives variables and the response variable is linear, the high-dimensional…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-21 Perrine Lacroix , Mélina Gallopin , Marie-Laure Martin

Bayesian inference on structured models typically relies on the ability to infer posterior distributions of underlying hidden variables. However, inference in implicit models or complex posterior distributions is hard. A popular tool for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-16 Theofanis Karaletsos

We provide an analytical argument for understanding the likely nature of parameter shifts between those coming from an analysis of a dataset and from a subset of that dataset, assuming differences are down to noise and any intrinsic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-28 Steven Gratton , Anthony Challinor

We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Joshua A. Carter , Joshua N. Winn

We consider the problem of using experimental time-series data for parameter estimation in nonlinear ordinary differential equations, focusing on the case where the data is noisy, sparse, irregularly sampled, includes multiple experiments,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Aleksandr Talitckii , Matthew M. Peet

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

We algorithmically construct multi-output Gaussian process priors which satisfy linear differential equations. Our approach attempts to parametrize all solutions of the equations using Gr\"obner bases. If successful, a push forward Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-07 Markus Lange-Hegermann

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe chemical or biological processes. This article considers the estimation and assessment of such models on the basis of time-course data. Due to experimental limitations,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-14 Samuel W. K. Wong , Shihao Yang , S. C. Kou

Data representations that contain all the information about target variables but are invariant to nuisance factors benefit supervised learning algorithms by preventing them from learning associations between these factors and the targets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Ayush Jaiswal , Yue Wu , Wael AbdAlmageed , Premkumar Natarajan

Inference tasks in signal processing are often characterized by the availability of reliable statistical modeling with some missing instance-specific parameters. One conventional approach uses data to estimate these missing parameters and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-25 Nir Shlezinger , Tirza Routtenberg

Bayesian hierarchical models can provide efficient algorithms for finding sparse solutions to ill-posed inverse problems. The models typically comprise a conditionally Gaussian prior model for the unknown which is augmented by a generalized…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Jonathan Lindbloom , Jan Glaubitz , Anne Gelb

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

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