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We consider generic optimal Bayesian inference, namely, models of signal reconstruction where the posterior distribution and all hyperparameters are known. Under a standard assumption on the concentration of the free energy, we show how…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Jean Barbier , Dmitry Panchenko

This work describes a method of approximating matrix permanents efficiently using belief propagation. We formulate a probability distribution whose partition function is exactly the permanent, then use Bethe free energy to approximate this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-08-13 Bert Huang , Tony Jebara

Belief Propagation (BP) is a popular, distributed heuristic for performing MAP computations in Graphical Models. BP can be interpreted, from a variational perspective, as minimizing the Bethe Free Energy (BFE). BP can also be used to solve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-05-20 Andrew Gelfand , Jinwoo Shin , Michael Chertkov

We consider soft random geometric graphs, constructed by distributing points (nodes) randomly according to a Poisson Point Process, and forming links between pairs of nodes with a probability that depends on their mutual distance, the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-10-03 Carl P. Dettmann , Orestis Georgiou

In an extremely influential paper Mezard and Parisi put forward an analytic but non-rigorous approach called the cavity method for studying spin systems on the Bethe lattice, i.e., the random $d$-regular graph [Eur. Phys. J. B 20 (2001)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Amin Coja-Oghlan , Will Perkins

Belief Propagation (BP) is a simple probabilistic inference algorithm, consisting of passing messages between nodes of a graph representing a probability distribution. Its analogy with a neural network suggests that it could have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Vincent Bouttier , Renaud Jardri , Sophie Deneve

An important part of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov Random Field. The belief propagation algorithm, which is an exact procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-24 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

It is well known that tree-based theories can describe the properties of undirected clustered networks with extremely accurate results [S. Melnik, \textit{et al}. Phys. Rev. E 83, 036112 (2011)]. It is reasonable to suggest that a motif…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-17 Peter Mann , Simon Dobson

We compute the logarithmic asymptotics of the non-existence probability (and more generally the lower-tail probability) for a wide variety of combinatorial problems for a range of parameters in the `critical regime' between the regime…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Matthew Jenssen , Will Perkins , Aditya Potukuchi , Michael Simkin

In analogy to superstatistics, which connects Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics to its generalizations through temperature fluctuations, complex networks are constructed from the fluctuating Erdos-Renyi random graphs. Here, using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Sumiyoshi Abe , Stefan Thurner

Bayesian inference is a widely used statistical method. The free energy and generalization loss, which are used to estimate the accuracy of Bayesian inference, are known to be small in singular models that do not have a unique optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Shuya Nagayasu , Sumio Watanabe

Belief propagation (BP) can do exact inference in loop-free graphs, but its performance could be poor in graphs with loops, and the understanding of its solution is limited. This work gives an interpretable belief propagation rule that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-26 Dong Liu , Nima N. Moghadam , Lars K. Rasmussen , Jinliang Huang , Saikat Chatterjee

In this paper we study the Random energy model - so called toy model of the spin glass theory - where the underlying distributions are compactly supported. We prove a general theorem on the asymptotics of free energy and obtain formulae in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nabin Kumar Jana

We describe expectation propagation for approximate inference in dynamic Bayesian networks as a natural extension of Pearl s exact belief propagation.Expectation propagation IS a greedy algorithm, converges IN many practical cases, but NOT…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Tom Heskes , Onno Zoeter

We discuss schemes for exact and approximate computations of permanents, and compare them with each other. Specifically, we analyze the Belief Propagation (BP) approach and its Fractional Belief Propagation (FBP) generalization for…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2013-01-08 M. Chertkov , A. B. Yedidia

We address the problem of computing approximate marginals in Gaussian probabilistic models by using mean field and fractional Bethe approximations. As an extension of Welling and Teh (2001), we define the Gaussian fractional Bethe free…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Botond Cseke , Tom Heskes

We propose a hybrid message passing method for distributed cooperative localization and tracking of mobile agents. Belief propagation and mean field message passing are employed for, respectively, the motion-related and measurement-related…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-25 Burak Çakmak , Daniel N. Urup , Florian Meyer , Troels Pedersen , Bernard H. Fleury , Franz Hlawatsch

The Free Energy Principle (FEP) states that under suitable conditions of weak coupling, random dynamical systems with sufficient degrees of freedom will behave so as to minimize an upper bound, formalized as a variational free energy, on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-21 Chris Fields , Karl Friston , James F. Glazebrook , Michael Levin

We investigate random graphs on the points of a Poisson process in $d$-dimensional space, which combine scale-free degree distributions and long-range effects. Every Poisson point carries an independent random mark and given marks and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Peter Gracar , Markus Heydenreich , Christian Mönch , Peter Mörters

The Bethe approximation, discovered in statistical physics, gives an efficient algorithm called belief propagation (BP) for approximating a partition function. BP empirically gives an accurate approximation for many problems, e.g.,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-11 Ryuhei Mori , Toshiyuki Tanaka