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We provide probabilistic and computational results on Markovian multivariate Hawkes processes and induced population processes. By applying the Markov property, we characterize in closed form a joint transform, bijective to the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 R. S. Karim , R. J. A. Laeven , M , M. Mandjes

Some sufficient conditions on the algebraic stability of non-homogeneous regime-switching diffusion processes are established. In this work we focus on determining the decay rate of a stochastic system which switches randomly between…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-15 Jing Li , Jinghai Shao

We prove under mild conditions that the Fleming-Viot process selects the minimal quasi-stationary distribution for Markov processes with soft killing on non-compact state spaces. Our results are applied to multi-dimensional birth and death…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

The dynamics of populations is frequently subject to intrinsic noise. At the same time unknown interaction networks or rate constants can present quenched uncertainty. Existing approaches often involve repeated sampling of the quenched…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-14 Tobias Galla

We consider in this paper a stochastic process that mixes in time, according to a nonobserved stationary Markov selection process, two separate sources of randomness: i) a stationary process which distribution is accessible (gold standard);…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Claire Lacour , Pierre Vandekerkhove

Assume that a family of stochastic processes on some Polish space $E$ converges to a deterministic process; the convergence is in distribution (hence in probability) at every fixed point in time. This assumption holds for a large family of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-07-13 Michel Benaim , Jean-Yves Le Boudec

Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-11 Christopher E. Overton , Mark Broom , Christoforos Hadjichrysanthou , Kieran J. Sharkey

We consider consistent dynamics for non-intersecting birth and death chains, originating from dualities of stochastic coalescing flows and one dimensional orthogonal polynomials. As corollaries, we obtain unified and simple probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-15 Theodoros Assiotis

We study long-range interacting systems driven by external stochastic forces that act collectively on all the particles constituting the system. Such a scenario is frequently encountered in the context of plasmas, self-gravitating systems,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Cesare Nardini , Shamik Gupta , Stefano Ruffo , Thierry Dauxois , Freddy Bouchet

The methods of the probability theory have been used in order to build up a new model of hysteresis. It turns out that the reversal points of the control parameter (e. g., the magnetic field) are Markov points which determine the stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 L. Pal

A driven stochastic system in a constant temperature heat bath relaxes into a steady state which is characterized by the steady state probability distribution. We investigate the relationship between the driving force and the steady state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-11 Jae Dong Noh , Joongul Lee

We introduce, and formally establish, a variant of the Hawkes-fed birth-death process -- the delayed Hawkes birth-death process -- in which the conditional intensity does not increase at arrivals but at departures from the system. In a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Justin Baars , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel Mandjes

Many important stochastic counting models can be written as general birth-death processes (BDPs). BDPs are continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers and can be used to easily parameterize a rich variety of probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

Stochastic boundary conditions for interactions with a particle reservoir are discussed in many-particle systems. We introduce the boundary conditions with the injection rate and the momentum distribution of particles coming from a particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-26 Tooru Taniguchi , Shin-ichi Sawada

A stochastic ordering approach is applied with Stein's method for approximation by the equilibrium distribution of a birth-death process. The usual stochastic order and the more general s-convex orders are discussed. Attention is focused on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Fraser Daly , Claude Lefèvre , Sergey Utev

Stochastic dynamics is generated by a matrix of transition probabilities. Certain eigenvectors of this matrix provide observables, and when these are plotted in the appropriate multi-dimensional space the phases (in the sense of phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-08 B. Gaveau , L. S. Schulman

We propose a method to obtain phase portraits for stochastic systems. Starting from the Fokker-Planck equation, we separate the dynamics into a convective and a diffusive part. We show that stable and unstable fixed points of the convective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-03 Marc Mendler , Johannes Falk , Barbara Drossel

Many economic models feature monotone Markov dynamics on state spaces that may be noncompact. Establishing existence, uniqueness, and stability of stationary distributions in such settings has required a patchwork of sufficient conditions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

Statistical models provide a powerful and useful class of approximations for calculating reaction rates by bypassing the need for detailed, and often difficult, dynamical considerations. Such approaches invariably invoke specific…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-04-01 Sourav Karmakar , Pankaj Kumar Yadav , Srihari Keshavamurthy

We study the effects of stochastic birth and death processes on the structural phases of systems of active and passive Brownian particles subject to volume exclusion. The total number of particles in the system is a fluctuating quantity,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Alejandro Almodóvar , Tobias Galla , Cristóbal López