English
Related papers

Related papers: Statistical inference and hypotheses testing of ri…

200 papers

This paper introduces a statistical treatment of inverse problems constrained by models with stochastic terms. The solution of the forward problem is given by a distribution represented numerically by an ensemble of simulations. The goal is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Emil M. Constantinescu , Noemi Petra , Julie Bessac , Cosmin G. Petra

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

The aims of this study are twofold. First, we consider an optimal risk allocation problem with non-convex preferences. By establishing an infimal representation for distortion risk measures, we give some necessary and sufficient conditions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Hirbod Assa

Convergence rate estimates in limit theorems for sums of independent random variables are considered.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Irina Shevtsova

In this paper, we discuss an application of the SDDP type algorithm to nested risk-averse formulations of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) problems. We propose a construction of a statistical upper bound for the optimal value of risk-averse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Vincent Guigues , Alexander Shapiro , Yi Cheng

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

This letter investigates the convergence and concentration properties of the Stochastic Mirror Descent (SMD) algorithm utilizing biased stochastic subgradients. We establish the almost sure convergence of the algorithm's iterates under the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Anik Kumar Paul , Arun D Mahindrakar , Rachel K Kalaimani

We consider selecting the top-$m$ alternatives from a finite number of alternatives via Monte Carlo simulation. Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the sampling decision as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, and develop a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Gongbo Zhang , Yijie Peng , Jianghua Zhang , Enlu Zhou

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

In the context of linear regression, we construct a data-driven convex loss function with respect to which empirical risk minimisation yields optimal asymptotic variance in the downstream estimation of the regression coefficients. At the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Oliver Y. Feng , Yu-Chun Kao , Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth

Considering the constrained stochastic optimization problem over a time-varying random network, where the agents are to collectively minimize a sum of objective functions subject to a common constraint set, we investigate asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Shengchao Zhao , Xing-Min Chen , Yongchao Liu

We consider a distributionally robust formulation of stochastic optimization problems arising in statistical learning, where robustness is with respect to uncertainty in the underlying data distribution. Our formulation builds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Andrzej Ruszczyński , Landi Zhu

We propose a likelihood ratio statistic for forming hypothesis tests and confidence intervals for a nonparametrically estimated univariate regression function, based on the shape restriction of concavity (alternatively, convexity). Dealing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Charles R. Doss

Stochastic optimisation algorithms are the de facto standard for machine learning with large amounts of data. Handling only a subset of available data in each optimisation step dramatically reduces the per-iteration computational costs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Zeljko Kereta , Jingwei Liang , Junqi Tang

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We present an algorithm to approximate the solutions to variational problems where set of admissible functions consists of convex functions. The main motivator behind this numerical method is estimating solutions to Adverse Selection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Ivar Ekeland , Santiago Moreno

The dramatic increase of autonomous systems subject to variable environments has given rise to the pressing need to consider risk in both the synthesis and verification of policies for these systems. This paper aims to address a few…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Prithvi Akella , Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

Risk management is particularly concerned with extreme events, but analysing these events is often hindered by the scarcity of data, especially in a multivariate context. This data scarcity complicates risk management efforts. Various tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Nisrine Madhar , Juliette Legrand , Maud Thomas

We present a new framework to address the non-convex robust hypothesis testing problem, wherein the goal is to seek the optimal detector that minimizes the maximum of worst-case type-I and type-II risk functions. The distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-25 Jie Wang , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

We study stochastic convex optimization under infinite noise variance. Specifically, when the stochastic gradient is unbiased and has uniformly bounded $(1+\kappa)$-th moment, for some $\kappa \in (0,1]$, we quantify the convergence rate of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-24 Nuri Mert Vural , Lu Yu , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Stanislav Volgushev , Murat A. Erdogdu