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Much of statistics relies upon four key elements: a law of large numbers, a calculus to operationalize stochastic convergence, a central limit theorem, and a framework for constructing local approximations. These elements are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Anil Aswani

Let $\rho$ be a general law--invariant convex risk measure, for instance the average value at risk, and let $X$ be a financial loss, that is, a real random variable. In practice, either the true distribution $\mu$ of $X$ is unknown, or the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Daniel Bartl , Ludovic Tangpi

In this paper, we propose and analyse a family of generalised stochastic composite mirror descent algorithms. With adaptive step sizes, the proposed algorithms converge without requiring prior knowledge of the problem. Combined with an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Weijia Shao , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

We develop a framework for convexifying a fairly general class of optimization problems. Under additional assumptions, we analyze the suboptimality of the solution to the convexified problem relative to the original nonconvex problem and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-06-04 Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Maryam Fazel , Emanuel Todorov

We consider the estimation of quadratic functionals in a Gaussian sequence model where the eigenvalues are supposed to be unknown and accessible through noisy observations only. Imposing smoothness assumptions both on the signal and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Martin Kroll

Regularized system identification is the major advance in system identification in the last decade. Although many promising results have been achieved, it is far from complete and there are still many key problems to be solved. One of them…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Yue Ju , Biqiang Mu , Lennart Ljung , Tianshi Chen

This paper considers data-driven chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian posteriors afford a principled mechanism to incorporate data and prior knowledge into stochastic optimization problems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Selecting the best regularization parameter in inverse problems is a classical and yet challenging problem. Recently, data-driven approaches have become popular to tackle this challenge. These approaches are appealing since they do require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Jonathan Chirinos Rodriguez , Ernesto De Vito , Cesare Molinari , Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa

In this work we investigate the practicality of stochastic gradient descent and recently introduced variants with variance-reduction techniques in imaging inverse problems. Such algorithms have been shown in the machine learning literature…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Junqi Tang , Karen Egiazarian , Mohammad Golbabaee , Mike Davies

Chance constrained programming (CCP) refers to a type of optimization problem with uncertain constraints that are satisfied with at least a prescribed probability level. In this work, we study the sample average approximation (SAA) of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Peng Wang , Rujun Jiang , Qingyuan Kong , Laura Balzano

The problem of sequential anomaly detection is considered, where multiple data sources are monitored in real time and the goal is to identify the "anomalous" ones among them, when it is not possible to sample all sources at all times. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

The problem of simultaneously testing the marginal distributions of sequentially monitored, independent data streams is considered. The decisions for the various testing problems can be made at different times, using data from all streams,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-21 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

We show that asymptotically, completely asynchronous stochastic gradient procedures achieve optimal (even to constant factors) convergence rates for the solution of convex optimization problems under nearly the same conditions required for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-05 John C. Duchi , Sorathan Chaturapruek , Christopher Ré

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests in models with several groups, when the number of groups converges with the dimension and sample size to infinity. We derive central limit theorems for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Holger Dette , Nina Dörnemann

The optimal control problem of stochastic systems is commonly solved via robust or scenario-based optimization methods, which are both challenging to scale to long optimization horizons. We cast the optimal control problem of a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Etienne Buehrle , Christoph Stiller

Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Raghu Bollapragada , Richard Byrd , Jorge Nocedal
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