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AI tools can be useful to address model deficits in the design of communication systems. However, conventional learning-based AI algorithms yield poorly calibrated decisions, unabling to quantify their outputs uncertainty. While Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-02 Kfir M. Cohen , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Shlomo Shamai

Accurately predicting the likelihood of interaction between two objects (compound-protein sequence, user-item, author-paper, etc.) is a fundamental problem in Computer Science. Current deep-learning models rely on learning accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Apurva Kalia , Dilip Krishnan , Soha Hassoun

Machine learning is used to approximate density functionals. For the model problem of the kinetic energy of non-interacting fermions in 1d, mean absolute errors below 1 kcal/mol on test densities similar to the training set are reached with…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 John C. Snyder , Matthias Rupp , Katja Hansen , Klaus-Robert Müller , Kieron Burke

Conformal Prediction (CP) has recently received a tremendous amount of interest, leading to a wide range of new theoretical and methodological results for predictive inference with formal theoretical guarantees. However, the vast majority…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Before delegating a task to an autonomous system, a human operator may want a guarantee about the behavior of the system. This paper extends previous work on conformal prediction for functional data and conformalized quantile regression to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Thomas G. Dietterich , Jesse Hostetler

We propose conformal predictive programming (CPP), a framework to solve chance constrained optimization problems, i.e., optimization problems with constraints that are functions of random variables. CPP utilizes samples from these random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-06 Yiqi Zhao , Xinyi Yu , Matteo Sesia , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Lars Lindemann

The dichotomy between the challenging nature of obtaining annotations for activities, and the more straightforward nature of data collection from wearables, has resulted in significant interest in the development of techniques that utilize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Harish Haresamudram , Irfan Essa , Thomas Ploetz

Hyperdimensional Computing (HDC) offers a computationally efficient paradigm for neuromorphic learning. Yet, it lacks rigorous uncertainty quantification, leading to open decision boundaries and, consequently, vulnerability to outliers,…

The black box nature of deep learning models complicate their usage in critical applications such as remote sensing. Conformal prediction is a method to ensure trust in such scenarios. Subject to data exchangeability, conformal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

We introduce Conformal Decision Theory, a framework for producing safe autonomous decisions despite imperfect machine learning predictions. Examples of such decisions are ubiquitous, from robot planning algorithms that rely on pedestrian…

Process mining sheds new light on the relationship between process models and real-life processes. Process discovery can be used to learn process models from event logs. Conformance checking is concerned with quantifying the quality of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Anja F. Syring , Niek Tax , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

There is a useful counterpart of conformal prediction for e-values, called conformal e-prediction. Conformal prediction can serve as basis for testing the assumption of exchangeability, leading to conformal testing. Similarly, conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

Image segmentation is a challenging task influenced by multiple sources of uncertainty, such as the data labeling process or the sampling of training data. In this paper we focus on binary segmentation and address these challenges using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Luca Mossina , Corentin Friedrich

Conformal prediction is a statistical tool for producing prediction regions for machine learning models that are valid with high probability. A key component of conformal prediction algorithms is a \emph{non-conformity score function} that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Renukanandan Tumu , Matthew Cleaveland , Rahul Mangharam , George J. Pappas , Lars Lindemann

As machine learning-based prediction systems are increasingly used in high-stakes situations, it is important to understand how such predictive models will perform upon deployment. Distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

Prediction of toxicity levels of chemical compounds is an important issue in Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) modeling. Although toxicity prediction has achieved significant progress in recent times through deep learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Abdul Karim , Jaspreet Singh , Avinash Mishra , Abdollah Dehzangi , M. A. Hakim Newton , Abdul Sattar

Recent research has made impressive progress in large-scale multimodal pre-training. In the context of the rapid growth of model size, it is necessary to seek efficient and flexible methods other than finetuning. In this paper, we propose…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Sheng Liang , Mengjie Zhao , Hinrich Schütze

We present an application of conformal prediction, a form of uncertainty quantification with guarantees, to the detection of railway signals. State-of-the-art architectures are tested and the most promising one undergoes the process of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-27 Léo Andéol , Thomas Fel , Florence De Grancey , Luca Mossina

In response to everyday queries, humans explicitly signal uncertainty and offer alternative answers when they are unsure. Machine learning models that output calibrated prediction sets through conformal prediction mimic this human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Jesse C. Cresswell , Yi Sui , Bhargava Kumar , Noël Vouitsis

Information-theoretic quantities like entropy and mutual information have found numerous uses in machine learning. It is well known that there is a strong connection between these entropic quantities and submodularity since entropy over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Rishabh Iyer , Ninad Khargonkar , Jeff Bilmes , Himanshu Asnani