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We prove a Large Deviation Principle for Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). This is an asymptotic estimate for the probability of a trajectory in the large size limit. Explicit Euler-Lagrange equations are determined for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Gaetan Barbet , James MacLaurin , Moshe Silverstein

In this note we present new examples of determinantal point processes with infinitely many particles. The particles live on the half-lattice {1,2,...} or on the open half-line (0,+\infty). The main result is the computation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Leonid Petrov

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

We consider the elliptic Ginibre ensembles in the real, complex and symplectic symmetry classes. As the matrix size tends to infinity, we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the upper tail large deviation probabilities for both the spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Sung-Soo Byun , Yong-Woo Lee , Seungjoon Oh

We provide a detailed study on the implicit bias of gradient descent when optimizing loss functions with strictly monotone tails, such as the logistic loss, over separable datasets. We look at two basic questions: (a) what are the…

We study Fredholm determinants related to a family of kernels which describe the edge eigenvalue behavior in unitary random matrix models with critical edge points. The kernels are natural higher order analogues of the Airy kernel and are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-01-19 T. Claeys , A. Its , I. Krasovsky

Consider the problem of minimizing functions that are Lipschitz and strongly convex, but not necessarily differentiable. We prove that after $T$ steps of stochastic gradient descent, the error of the final iterate is $O(\log(T)/T)$ with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Nicholas J. A. Harvey , Christopher Liaw , Yaniv Plan , Sikander Randhawa

The Tracy-Widom beta distribution is the large dimensional limit of the top eigenvalue of beta random matrix ensembles. We use the stochastic Airy operator representation to show that as a tends to infinity the tail of the Tracy Widom…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-27 Laure Dumaz , Bálint Virág

Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Chiara Lattanzi , Manuele Leonelli

In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Thomas Mikosch , Igor Rodionov

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

In this paper, we introduce a new class of models for spatial data obtained from max-convolution processes based on indicator kernels with random shape. We show that this class of models have appealing dependence properties including tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Pavel Krupskii , Raphaël Huser

We prove a large deviation principle for the largest eigenvalue of Wigner matrices without Gaussian tails, namely such that the distribution tails $\mathbb{P}( |X_{1,1}|>t)$ and $\mathbb{P}(|X_{1,2}|>t)$ behave like $e^{-bt^{\alpha}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Fanny Augeri

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

Veraverbeke's (1977) theorem relates the tail of the distribution of the supremum of a random walk with negative drift to the tail of the distribution of its increments, or equivalently, the probability that a centered random walk with…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Philippe Barbe , Bill McCormick

An important yet challenging problem in numerical linear algebra is finding a principal submatrix with maximum determinant from a given symmetric positive semidefinite matrix. This problem arises in experimental design, statistics, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Hao Hu , Stefan Sremac , Hugo J. Woerdeman , Henry Wolkowicz

Let $W$ be a nonnegative random variable with expectation $1$. For all $r \geqslant 2$, we consider the total mass $Z_r^\infty$ of the associated Mandelbrot multiplicative cascade in the $r$-ary tree. For all $n \geqslant 1$, we also…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , P Petit

Consider first passage percolation with identical and independent weight distributions and first passage time ${\rm T}$. In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviations $\mathbb{P}({\rm T}(0,nx)>n(\mu+\xi))$, for $\xi>0$ and $x\neq…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

Consider standard first-passage percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$. We study the lower-tail large deviations of the rescaled random metric $\widehat{\mathbf T}_n$ restricted to a box. If all exponential moments are finite, we prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Julien Verges
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