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Related papers: Deciphering infant mortality. Part 1: empirical ev…

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In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

The jump processes W(t) on [0,\infty[ with transitions w -> alpha w at rate b*w^beta (0 =< alpha =< 1, b>0, beta>0) are considered. Their moments are shown to decay not faster than algebraically for t -> \infty, and an equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Yves Elskens

We study continuous-time birth-death type processes, where individuals have independent and identically distributed lifetimes, according to a random variable Q, with E[Q]=1, and where the birth rate if the population is currently in state…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

An SEIRS epidemic with disease fatalities is introduced in a growing population (modelled as a super-critical linear birth and death process). The study of the initial phase of the epidemic is stochastic, while the analysis of the major…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-29 Tom Britton , Désiré Ouédraogo

Reducing the global burden of stillbirths is important to improving child and maternal health. Of interest is understanding patterns in the timing of stillbirths -- that is, whether they occur in the intra- or antepartum period -- because…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael Y. C. Chong , Monica Alexander

The existing life table method needs to calculate the age-specific mortality first, not only has too many and complicated calculation steps, but also introduces the multiple approximation to bring error. This paper redefines the probability…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-21 Weidong Huang

In this article, we provide different representations for a time-fractional birth and death process $N_{\alpha}(t)$, whose transition probabilities are governed by a time-fractional system of differential equations. More specifically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jorge Littin

This paper studies birth and death processes in interactive random environments where the birth and death rates and the dynamics of the state of the environment are dependent on each other. Two models of a random environment are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Guodong Pang , Andrey Sarantsev , Yuri Suhov

Spatial birth and death processes are obtained as solutions of a system of stochastic equations. The processes are required to be locally finite, but may involve an infinite population over the full (noncompact) type space. Conditions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nancy L. Garcia , Thomas G. Kurtz

So fast is the growth of a culture of E. coli that it led researchers to overlook a possible death rate. As a matter of fact, the experiments done in the first half of the 20th century were unable to detect any mortality. It is only at the…

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for explosion and implosion of birth-and-death (non-Markov) continuous-time random walks. In other words, we obtain conditions for $\infty$ to be accessible and for it to be an entrance point.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Andrey Pilipenko , Vadym Tkachenko

Genetic and environmental factors are traditionally seen as the sole causes of congenital anomalies. In this paper we introduce a third possible cause, namely random "manufacturing" discrepancies with respect to ``design'' values. A clear…

We proved the explicit formulas in Laplace transform of the hitting times for the birth and death processes on a denumerable state space with $\ift$ the exit or entrance boundary. This extends the well known Keilson's theorem from finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-08 Yu Gong , Yong-Hua Mao

Demographic transition, characterized by declines in fertility and mortality, is a global phenomenon associated with modernization. While typical patterns of fertility decline are observed in Western countries, their applicability to other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-31 Kenji Itao

In the wake of the influenza pandemic of 1889-1890 Jacques Bertillon, a pioneer of medical statistics, noticed that after the massive death spike there was a dip in birth numbers around 9 months later which was significantly larger than…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-16 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

Objective: To exploit state variations in infant mortality, identify diagnoses that contributed to reduction of the infant mortality rate (IMR), and examine factors associated with preterm related mortality rate (PMR). Methods: Using linked…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Alireza Ebrahimvandi , Niyousha Hosseinichimeh , Jay Iams

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

Measurement-induced phase transitions are often studied in random quantum circuits, with local measurements performed with a certain probability. We present here a model where a global measurement is performed with certainty at every…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Paranjoy Chaki , Protyush Nandi , Ujjwal Sen , Subinay Dasgupta

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

We consider a continuous time Markov process on $\mathbb{N}_0$ which can be interpreted as generalized alternating birth-death process in a non-autonomous random environment. Depending on the status of the environment the process either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Hans Daduna