English
Related papers

Related papers: Bayesian Nonparametric Conditional Copula Estimati…

200 papers

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

Causal discovery is to learn cause-effect relationships among variables given observational data and is important for many applications. Existing causal discovery methods assume data sufficiency, which may not be the case in many real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Zijun Cui , Naiyu Yin , Yuru Wang , Qiang Ji

This paper studies the degree to which a bivariate copula fails to be symmetric under coordinate permutation, a property known as non-exchangeability. Working within an axiomatic framework that quantifies this asymmetry through a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Manuel Úbeda-Flores

With insurers benefiting from ever-larger amounts of data of increasing complexity, we explore a data-driven method to model dependence within multilevel claims in this paper. More specifically, we start from a non-parametric estimator for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Marie Michaelides , Hélène Cossette , Mathieu Pigeon

We present an approach for modeling and imputation of nonignorable missing data. Our approach uses Bayesian data integration to combine (1) a Gaussian copula model for all study variables and missingness indicators, which allows arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter , Daniel R. Kowal

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

Tests of equality of copulas between two samples are introduced and studied using the empirical Bernstein copula process. Three statistics are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. Besides, a subsampling Bernstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Guanjie Lyu , Mohamed Belalia

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

There has been a lot of work fitting Ising models to multivariate binary data in order to understand the conditional dependency relationships between the variables. However, additional covariates are frequently recorded together with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-28 Jie Cheng , Elizaveta Levina , Pei Wang , Ji Zhu

This paper provides a critical review of the Bayesian perspective of causal inference based on the potential outcomes framework. We review the causal estimands, identification assumptions, the general structure of Bayesian inference of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Fan Li , Peng Ding , Fabrizia Mealli

In this article, we develop fully Bayesian, copula-based, spatial-statistical models for large, noisy, incomplete, and non-Gaussian spatial data. Our approach includes novel constructions of copulas that accommodate a spatial-random-effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Alan Pearse , David Gunawan , Noel Cressie

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

In this article, a copula-based method for mixed regression models is proposed, where the conditional distribution of the response variable, given covariates, is modelled by a parametric family of continuous or discrete distributions, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-13 Pavel Krupskii , Bouchra R Nasri , Bruno N Remillard

We describe a new method for evaluating Bayes factors. The key idea is to introduce a hypermodel in which the competing models are components of a mixture distribution. Inference for the mixing probabilities then yields estimates of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Philip D. O'Neill , Theodore Kypraios

We develop an empirical Bayes procedure for estimating the cell means in an unbalanced, two-way additive model with fixed effects. We employ a hierarchical model, which reflects exchangeability of the effects within treatment and within…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Lawrence D. Brown , Gourab Mukherjee , Asaf Weinstein

The general principles of Bayesian data analysis imply that models for survey responses should be constructed conditional on all variables that affect the probability of inclusion and nonresponse, which are also the variables used in survey…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-06 Andrew Gelman

Substudies of the Childhood Asthma Management Program [Control. Clin. Trials 20 (1999) 91-120; N. Engl. J. Med. 343 (2000) 1054-1063] seek to identify patient characteristics associated with asthma symptoms and lung function. To determine…

There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

This paper investigates Bayesian variable selection when there is a hierarchical dependence structure on the inclusion of predictors in the model. In particular, we study the type of dependence found in polynomial response surfaces of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-03 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Nikolay Bliznyuk

We introduce a Bayesian approach for analyzing (possibly) high-dimensional dependent data that are distributed according to a member from the natural exponential family of distributions. This problem requires extensive methodological…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle