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When facing multivariate covariates, general semiparametric regression techniques come at hand to propose flexible models that are unexposed to the curse of dimensionality. In this work a semiparametric copula-based estimator for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-25 Mickael De Backer , Anouar El Ghouch , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Study of recurrences in earthquakes, climate, financial time-series, etc. is crucial to better forecast disasters and limit their consequences. However, almost all the previous phenomenological studies involved only a long-ranged…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-11 Rémy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

For non-randomized studies, the regression discontinuity design (RDD) can be used to identify and estimate causal effects from a "locally-randomized" subgroup of subjects, under relatively mild conditions. However, current models focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-12 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Progress in probabilistic generative models has accelerated, developing richer models with neural architectures, implicit densities, and with scalable algorithms for their Bayesian inference. However, there has been limited progress in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-31 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Susanna Makela , Yajuan Si , Andrew Gelman

Fields like public health, public policy, and social science often want to quantify the degree of dependence between variables whose relationships take on unknown functional forms. Typically, in fact, researchers in these fields are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Octavio César Mesner , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Doubly robust estimators of causal effects are a popular means of estimating causal effects. Such estimators combine an estimate of the conditional mean of the outcome given treatment and confounders (the so-called outcome regression) with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-17 David Benkeser , Weixin Cai , Mark J van der Laan

We propose the extension of Fr\'{e}chet-Hoeffding copula bounds for circular data. The copula is a powerful tool for describing the dependency of random variables. In two dimensions, the Fr\'{e}chet-Hoeffding upper (lower) bound indicates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Hiroaki Ogata

Accurate power and sample size estimation are crucial to the design and analysis of genetic association studies. When analyzing a binary trait via logistic regression, important covariates such as age and sex are typically included in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-05 Ziang Zhang , Lei Sun

Causal inference on populations embedded in social networks poses technical challenges, since the typical no interference assumption frequently does not hold. Existing methods developed in the context of network interference rely upon the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Vanessa McNealis , Erica E. M. Moodie , Nema Dean

The conventional model for assessing insensitivity to hidden bias in paired observational studies constructs a worst-case distribution for treatment assignments subject to bounds on the maximal bias to which any given pair is subjected. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-25 Colin B. Fogarty , Raiden B. Hasegawa

Copula models of multivariate data are popular because they allow separate specification of marginal distributions and the copula function. These components can be treated as inter-related modules in a modified Bayesian inference approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lucas Kock , David T. Frazier , Michael Stanley Smith , David J. Nott

Estimating causal effects from nonexperimental data is a fundamental problem in many fields of science. A key component of this task is selecting an appropriate set of covariates for confounding adjustment to avoid bias. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Zheng Li , Xichen Guo , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Zhi Geng

Many marketing applications, including credit card incentive programs, offer rewards to customers who exceed specific spending thresholds to encourage increased consumption. Quantifying the causal effect of these thresholds on customers is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Statistical models for describing the probability distribution over the states of biological systems are commonly used for dimensional reduction. Among these models, pairwise models are very attractive in part because they can be fit using…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-30 Yasser Roudi , Erik Aurell , John Hertz

This paper intends to develop tools for characterizing non-linear spectral dependence between spontaneous brain signals. We use parametric copula models (both bivariate and vine models) applied on the magnitude of Fourier coefficients…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-25 Charles Fontaine , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

The advent of high-throughput sequencing technologies has made data from DNA material readily available, leading to a surge of microbiome-related research establishing links between markers of microbiome health and specific outcomes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Susheela P. Singh , Ana-Maria Staicu , Robert R. Dunn , Noah Fierer , Brian J. Reich

We consider the problem of testing the equality of conditional distributions of a response variable given a vector of covariates between two populations. Such a hypothesis testing problem can be motivated from various machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Xiaoyu Hu , Jing Lei

Bidirectional causal relationships arising from mutual interactions between variables are commonly observed within biomedical, econometrical, and social science contexts. When such relationships are further complicated by unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Yafang Deng , Kang Shuai , Shanshan Luo

Looking at bivariate copulas from the perspective of conditional distributions and considering weak convergence of almost all conditional distributions yields the notion of weak conditional convergence. At first glance, this notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Thimo M. Kasper , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig