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Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has shown that finite-time overshoots of tipping points can be…

A variation in the environment of a system, such as the temperature, the concentration of a chemical solution or the appearance of a magnetic field, may lead to a drift in one of the parameters. If the parameter crosses a bifurcation point,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Julia Cantisán , Serhiy Yanchuk , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán , Jürgen Kurths

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Climate change is a critical issue that will be in the political agenda for the next decades. While it is important for this topic to be discussed at higher levels, it is also of paramount importance that the populations became aware of the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-20 Gianpaolo Zammarchi , Paolo Maranzano

This bibliometric study of a large publication set dealing with research on climate change aims at mapping the relevant literature from a bibliometric perspective and presents a multitude of quantitative data: (1) The growth of the overall…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2016-08-03 Robin Haunschild , Lutz Bornmann , Werner Marx

Predicting fitness of biologically-active populations, communities or systems in fluctuating environments is a long-standing challenge. Phenotypic plasticity and bet-hedging strategy, two key evolutionary traits living systems harness to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-24 Sumana Bhattacharyya , Uttam Singh , Anupam Sengupta

There is a growing awareness that catastrophic phenomena in biology and medicine can be mathematically represented in terms of saddle-node bifurcations. In particular, the term `tipping', or critical transition has in recent years entered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-29 Jeremiah Li , Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian , Sui Huang

The response of precipitation extremes to climate change is considered using results from theory, modeling, and observations, with a focus on the physical factors that control the response. Observations and simulations with climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-05 Paul A. O'Gorman

Public perceptions of climate change arguably contribute to shaping private adaptation and support for policy intervention. In this paper, we propose a novel Climate Concern Index (CCI), based on disaggregated web-search volumes related to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-09 Giovanni Angelini , Maria Elena Bontempi , Luca De Angelis , Paolo Neri , Marco Maria Sorge

Network theory provides various tools for investigating the structural or functional topology of many complex systems found in nature, technology and society. Nevertheless, it has recently been realised that a considerable number of systems…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-03-23 Jonathan F. Donges , Hanna C. H. Schultz , Norbert Marwan , Yong Zou , Juergen Kurths

Tricritical points separate continuous and discontinuous symmetry breaking transitions. They occur in a variety of physical systems and their mathematical models. A tricritical point is used to determine a liquid-solid phase transition line…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-18 A. Aitta

There is an increasingly urgent need to develop knowledge and practices to manage climate risks. For example, flood-risk information can inform household decisions such as purchasing a home or flood insurance. However, flood-risk estimates…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-05 Courtney M. Cooper , Sanjib Sharma , Robert E. Nicholas , Klaus Keller

Climate change is an ongoing topic in nearly all areas of society since many years. A discussion of climate change without referring to scientific results is not imaginable. This is especially the case for policies since action on the macro…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-12 Lutz Bornmann , Robin Haunschild , Kevin Boyack , Werner Marx , Jan C. Minx

In environmental and climate data, there is often an interest in determining if and when changes occur in a system. Such changes may result from localized sources in space and time like a volcanic eruption or climate geoengineering events.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-14 Drew Yarger , J. Derek Tucker

Economists have predicted that damages from global warming will be as low as 2.1% of global economic production for a 3$^\circ$C rise in global average surface temperature, and 7.9% for a 6$^\circ$C rise. Such relatively trivial estimates…

Treatment policy estimands are frequently favored by regulators, as they assess the effect of treatment assignment regardless of post-randomization events. Despite best efforts, missing data due to study discontinuation cannot be fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Ajmal Oodally , Craig Wang , Zheng Li , Tim Morris , Tobias Mütze , Arunava Chakravartty

Nonlinear dynamical systems subjected to a combination of noise and time-varying forcing can exhibit sudden changes, critical transitions or tipping points where large or rapid dynamic effects arise from changes in a parameter that are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-21 Peter Ashwin , Julian Newman , Raphael Römer

The Earth's climate has experienced numerous critical transitions during its history, which have often been accompanied by massive and rapid changes in the biosphere. Such transitions are evidenced in various proxy records covering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-26 Denis-Didier Rousseau , Witold Bagniewski , Valerio Lucarini

Spontaneous symmetry breaking is a hallmark of equilibrium systems, typically characterized by a single critical point separating ordered and disordered phases. Recently, a novel class of non-equilibrium phase transitions was uncovered…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-16 Gustavo A. L. Forão , Jonas Berx , Tan Van Vu , Carlos E. Fiore

By constructing an exactly solvable spin model, we investigate the critical behaviors of transverse field Ising chains interpolated with cluster interactions, which exhibit various types of topologically distinct Ising critical points.…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2024-07-12 Xue-Jia Yu , Wei-Lin Li