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We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza

We present a tractable non-independent increment process which provides a high modeling flexibility. The process lies on an extension of the so-called Harris chains to continuous time being stationary and Feller. We exhibit constructions,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-19 Michelle Anzarut , Ramses H. Mena

This thesis develops a new framework for modelling price processes in finance, such as an equity price or foreign exchange rate. This can be related to the conventional Ito calculus-based framework through the time integral of a price's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Ryan McCrickerd

We study contingent claims in a discrete-time market model where trading costs are given by convex functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. In addition to classical frictionless markets and markets with transaction costs or…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Teemu Pennanen

We present an algorithm producing a dynamic non-self-financing hedging strategy in an incomplete market corresponding to investor-relevant risk criterion. The optimization is a two stage process that first determines admissible model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 N. Josephy , L. Kimball , A. Nagaev , M. Pasniewski , V. Steblovskaya

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

We develop a methodology for index tracking and risk exposure control using financial derivatives. Under a continuous-time diffusion framework for price evolution, we present a pathwise approach to construct dynamic portfolios of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Tim Leung , Brian Ward

Functional It^o calculus is based on an extension of the classical It^o calculus to functionals depending on the entire past evolution of the underlying paths and not only on its current value. The calculus builds on Follmer's…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Siboniso Confrence Nkosi , Farai Julius Mhlanga

We regard options on VIX and Realised Variance as solutions to path-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) in a continuous stochastic volatility model. The modeling assumption specifies that the instantaneous variance is a $C^3$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Alexandre Pannier

This work studies the dynamic risk management of the risk-neutral value of the potential credit losses on a portfolio of derivatives. Sensitivities-based hedging of such liability is sub-optimal because of bid-ask costs, pricing models…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-22 Roberto Daluiso , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Edoardo Vittori

In this article we introduce a portfolio optimisation framework, in which the use of rough path signatures (Lyons, 1998) provides a novel method of incorporating path-dependencies in the joint signal-asset dynamics, naturally extending…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-31 Owen Futter , Blanka Horvath , Magnus Wiese

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

This paper presents hedging strategies for European and exotic options in a Levy market. By applying Taylor's Theorem, dynamic hedging portfolios are con- structed under different market assumptions, such as the existence of power jump…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Wing Yan Yip , Sofia Olhede , David Stephens

We provide a simple and straightforward approach to a continuous-time version of Cover's universal portfolio strategies within the model-free context of F\"ollmer's pathwise It\^o calculus. We establish the existence of the universal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

The paper develops a general methodology for analyzing policies with path-dependency (hysteresis) in stochastic models with forward looking optimizing agents. Our main application is a macro-climate model with a path-dependent climate…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-22 Georgii Riabov , Aleh Tsyvinski

This study presents a deep reinforcement learning approach for global hedging of long-term financial derivatives. A similar setup as in Coleman et al. (2007) is considered with the risk management of lookback options embedded in guarantees…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Alexandre Carbonneau

We study hedging and pricing of unattainable contingent claims in a non-Markovian regime-switching financial model. Our financial market consists of a bank account and a risky asset whose dynamics are driven by a Brownian motion and a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-19 Łukasz Delong , Antoon Pelsser

The main purpose of this work is the derivation of a functional partial differential equation (FPDE) for the calculations of equity-linked insurance policies, where the payment stream may depend on the whole past history of the financial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 David R. Baños , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Oriol Zamora Font