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We introduce a model-free approach for analyzing the risk and return for a broad class of dynamic trading strategies, including pairs trading, mean-reversion trading and other statistical arbitrage strategies, in terms of excursions of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Anna Ananova , Rama Cont , Renyuan Xu

Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ivan Letteri

In this work, we introduce a Monte Carlo method for the dynamic hedging of general European-type contingent claims in a multidimensional Brownian arbitrage-free market. Based on bounded variation martingale approximations for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-20 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Vinicius Siqueira

We consider a general path-dependent version of the hedging problem with price impact of Bouchard et al. (2019), in which a dual formulation for the super-hedging price is obtained by means of PDE arguments, in a Markovian setting and under…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

In this work, I address the issue of forming riskless hedge in the continuous time option pricing model with stochastic stock volatility. I show that it is essential to verify whether the replicating portfolio is self-financing, in order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. F. Wang

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We present here a regress later based Monte Carlo approach that uses neural networks for pricing high-dimensional contingent claims. The choice of specific architecture of the neural networks used in the proposed algorithm provides for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Vikranth Lokeshwar , Vikram Bhardawaj , Shashi Jain

It is shown that delta hedging provides the optimal trading strategy in terms of minimal required initial capital to replicate a given terminal payoff in a continuous-time Markovian context. This holds true in market models where no…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Johannes Ruf

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

We pursue robust approach to pricing and hedging in mathematical finance. We consider a continuous time setting in which some underlying assets and options, with continuous paths, are available for dynamic trading and a further set of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-07 Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

In a market with a rough or Markovian mean-reverting stochastic volatility there is no perfect hedge. Here it is shown how various delta-type hedging strategies perform and can be evaluated in such markets in the case of European options. A…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-19 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We show how D4PG can be used in conjunction with quantile regression to develop a hedging strategy for a trader responsible for derivatives that arrive stochastically and depend on a single underlying asset. We assume that the trader makes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-05 Jay Cao , Jacky Chen , Soroush Farghadani , John Hull , Zissis Poulos , Zeyu Wang , Jun Yuan

Based on the theory of c\`adl\`ag rough paths, we develop a pathwise approach to analyze stability and approximation properties of portfolios along individual price trajectories generated by standard models of financial markets. As a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-25 Andrew L. Allan , Anna P. Kwossek , Chong Liu , David J. Prömel

Using a combination of recurrent neural networks and signature methods from the rough paths theory we design efficient algorithms for solving parametric families of path dependent partial differential equations (PPDEs) that arise in pricing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Marc Sabate-Vidales , David Šiška , Lukasz Szpruch

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to modelling and predicting a class of functional time series with application to energy markets, based on fully observed, noise-free functional data. Traders in such contexts conceive profitable…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-23 Antonio Canale , Matteo Ruggiero

This article is the second one in a series on the use of scaling invariance in finance. In the first article (cond-mat/9906048), we introduced a new formalism for the pricing of derivative securities, which focusses on tradable objects…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jiri Hoogland , Dimitri Neumann

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

This paper shows how reinforcement learning can be used to derive optimal hedging strategies for derivatives when there are transaction costs. The paper illustrates the approach by showing the difference between using delta hedging and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Jay Cao , Jacky Chen , John Hull , Zissis Poulos