Related papers: From Doob's maximal identity to Azema supermarting…

Let $X_{t}$ denote a stationary first-order autoregressive process. Consider five contiguous observations (in time $t$) of the series (e.g., $X_{1}, ..., X_{5}$). Let $M$ denote the maximum of these. Let $\rho$ be the lag-one serial…

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

In recent work, Fyodorov and Keating conjectured the maximum size of $|\zeta(1/2+it)|$ in a typical interval of length O(1) on the critical line. They did this by modelling the zeta function by the characteristic polynomial of a random…

The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

We consider a model of the Riemann zeta function on the critical axis and study its maximum over intervals of length $(\log T)^{\theta}$, where $\theta$ is either fixed or tends to zero at a suitable rate. It is shown that the deterministic…

Consider a $\Lambda$-coalescent that comes down from infinity (meaning that it starts from a configuration containing infinitely many blocks at time 0, yet it has a finite number $N_t$ of blocks at any positive time $t>0$). We exhibit a…

This article investigates the phenomenon of maximal rigidity in spatial processes, where perfect interpolation of the process is possible from partial information, specifically, from its restriction to a strict subdomain, often resulting in…

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with infinite mean $\mathbf E[|\xi_1|]=\infty.$ Consider a random walk $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$, a stopping time $\tau=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0\}$ and let…

We conjecture the true rate of growth of the maximum size of the Riemann zeta function and other $L$-functions. We support our conjecture using arguments from random matrix theory, conjectures for moments of $L$-functions, and also by…

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

We show that if $u$ solves the fractional parabolic equation $(\partial_t - \Delta )^s u = Vu$ in $B_5 \times (-25, 0]$ ($0<s<1$) such that $u(\cdot, 0) \not\equiv 0$, then the maximal vanishing order of $u$ in space-time at $(0,0)$ is…

Starting from an n-by-n matrix of zeros, choose uniformly random zero entries and change them to ones, one-at-a-time, until the matrix becomes invertible. We show that with probability tending to one as n tends to infinity, this occurs at…

We consider local martingales which are standard or stochastic exponentials M of one component X of a multivariate affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer (2003). By completing their characterization of…

We work in the setting of the progressive enlargement $\mathbb G$ of a reference filtration $\mathbb F$ through the observation of a random time $\tau$. We study an integral representation property for some classes of $\mathbb…

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in the theory of stochastic processes. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for one-dimensional diffusion processes, which include the…

Consider $\mathbb{G}$ the progressive enlargement of a filtration $\mathbb{F}$ with a random time $\tau$. Assuming that, in $\mathbb{F}$, the martingale representation property holds, we examine conditions under which the martingale…

Chen, Fitzsimmons, Kuwae and Zhang (Ann. Probab. 36 (2008) 931-970) have established an Ito formula consisting in the development of F(u(X)) for a symmetric Markov process X, a function u in the Dirichlet space of X and any…

We derive the explicit form of the martingale representation for square-integrable processes that are martingales with respect to the natural filtration of the super-Brownian motion. This is done by using a weak extension of the Dupire…

We study moments of characteristic polynomials of truncated Haar distributed matrices from the three classical compact groups O(N), U(N) and Sp(2N). For finite matrix size we calculate the moments in terms of hypergeometric functions of…

We report on the detection of very stable modulations with periods unexpectedly (~0.5%) longer than superhump periods during the slowly fading stage of WZ Sge-type superoutbursts in three systems, GW Lib, V455 And and WZ Sge. These periods…