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Networks are fundamental models for data used in practically every application domain. In most instances, several implicit or explicit choices about the network definition impact the translation of underlying data to a network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Ivan Brugere , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) method is a widely adopted tool for robust estimation and outlier detection. In this paper, we introduce MCD model selection based on the notion of stability. Our best subset method leverages prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-02 Qiang Heng , Hui Shen , Kenneth Lange

Recent sequential pattern mining methods have used the minimum description length (MDL) principle to define an encoding scheme which describes an algorithm for mining the most compressing patterns in a database. We present a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jaroslav Fowkes , Charles Sutton

The Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence estimation/prediction in a proper learning setup is studied. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

We discuss the possibility of applying some standard statistical methods (the least square method, the maximum likelihood method, the method of statistical moments for estimation of parameters) to deterministically chaotic low-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

In this correspondence, we focus on the performance analysis of the widely-used minimum description length (MDL) source enumeration technique in array processing. Unfortunately, available theoretical analysis exhibit deviation from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Farzan Haddadi , Mohammadreza Malekmohammadi , Mohammad Mahdi Nayebi , Mohammad Reza Aref

We leverage the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle as a model selection technique for Bernoulli distributions and compare several types of MDL codes. We first present a simplistic crude two-part MDL code and a Normalized Maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot , Carine Hue

This paper proposes an information theory approach to estimate the number of changepoints and their locations in a climatic time series. A model is introduced that has an unknown number of changepoints and allows for series…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-08 QiQi Lu , Robert Lund , Thomas C. M. Lee

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

We consider the fundamental problem of inferring the causal direction between two univariate numeric random variables $X$ and $Y$ from observational data. The two-variable case is especially difficult to solve since it is not possible to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-23 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

We show that the two-stage minimum description length (MDL) criterion widely used to estimate linear change-point (CP) models corresponds to the marginal likelihood of a Bayesian model with a specific class of prior distributions. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 David Ardia , Arnaud Dufays , Carlos Ordas Criado

Many regression problems involve not one but several response variables (y's). Often the responses are suspected to share a common underlying structure, in which case it may be advantageous to share information across them; this is known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-02 Brian Tomasik

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra

This paper proposes a theoretical framework for analyzing Modified Incomplete LU (MILU) preconditioners. Considering a generalized MILU preconditioner on a weighted undirected graph with self-loops, we extend its applicability beyond…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Geonho Hwang , Yesom Park , Yueun Lee , Jooyoung Hahn , Myungjoo Kang

We consider the estimation of high-dimensional network structures from partially observed Markov random field data using a penalized pseudo-likelihood approach. We fit a misspecified model obtained by ignoring the missing data problem. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade

It is increasingly common to encounter time-varying random fields on networks (metabolic networks, sensor arrays, distributed computing, etc.). This paper considers the problem of optimal, nonlinear prediction of these fields, showing from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Here, in this paper it has been considered a sub family of exponential family. Maximum likelihood estimations (MLE) for the parameter of this family, probability density function, and cumulative density function based on a sample and based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Saman Hosseini , Parviz Nasiri , Dler Hussein Kadir , Sharad Damodar Gore

The analysis of high-dimensional time series data has become increasingly important across a wide range of fields. Recently, a method for constructing the minimum information Markov kernel on finite state spaces was established. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei
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