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Related papers: Explosive Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes

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We study a family of Crump--Mode--Jagers branching processes in random environment that explode, i.e. that grow infinitely large in finite time with positive probability. Building on recent work of the author and Iyer (``On the structure of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Bas Lodewijks

We study the phenomenon of explosion in general (Crump-Mode-Jagers) branching processes, which refers to the event where an infinite number of individuals are born in finite time. In a critical setting where the expected number of immediate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Gerold Alsmeyer , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners , Jakob Stonner

In this short note, we provide an explicit sufficient condition for non-explosion of Crump--Mode--Jagers branching processes with pure birth reproduction. It shows that the standard sufficient condition for explosion, namely the convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Benoît Henry

We study explosiveness of age-dependent branching processes describing the early stages of an epidemic-spread: both forward- and backward process are analysed. For the classical age-dependent branching process $(h,G)$, where the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-26 Lennart Gulikers

We consider a branching process with Poissonian immigration where individuals have inheritable types. At rate theta, new individuals singly enter the total population and start a new population which evolves like a supercritical,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-02 Mathieu Richard

We provide sufficient criteria for explosion in Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process, via the process producing an infinite path in finite time. As an application, we deduce a curious phase-transition in the infinite tree associated with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Tejas Iyer

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process such that all births are at integer times (the lattice case). We show that under a certain condition on the intensity of the offspring process, the second-order fluctuations of the age…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Svante Janson

We study the structure of genealogical trees associated with explosive Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes (stopped at the explosion time), proving criteria for the associated tree to contain a node of infinite degree (a star) or an…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Tejas Iyer , Bas Lodewijks

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

This paper is concerned with Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes, describing spread of an epidemic depending on the proportion of the population that is vaccinated. Births in the branching process are aborted independently with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Frank Ball , Miguel González , Rodrigo Martínez , Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova

Consider a general branching process, a.k.a. Crump-Mode-Jagers process, generated by a perturbed random walk $\eta_1$, $\xi_1+\eta_2$, $\xi_1+\xi_2+\eta_3,\ldots$. Here, $(\xi_1,\eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ are independent identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Bohdan Rashytov

Chlamydiae are bacteria with an interesting unusual developmental cycle. A single bacterium in its infectious form (elementary body, EB) enters the host cell, where it converts into its dividing form (reticulate body, RB), and divides by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-06 Péter Kevei , Máté Szalai

The shapes of branching trees have been linked to disease transmission patterns. In this paper we use the general Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process to model an outbreak of an infectious disease under mild assumptions. Introducing a new…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-13 Giacomo Plazzotta , Caroline Colijn

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

We characterise all the quasi-stationary distributions and the Q-process associated with a continuous state branching process that explodes in finite time. We also provide a rescaling for the continuous state branching process conditioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Cyril Labbé

We introduce and study branching interval partition diffusions in their natural generality. We let interval widths evolve independently according to a general real-valued diffusion subject only to conditions that ensure finite lifetimes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Matthew Buckland

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

A subcritical branching process in random environment (BPRE) is considered whose associated random walk does not satisfy the Cramer condition. The asymptotics for the survival probability of the process is investigated, and a Yaglom type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-11 Vladimir Vatutin , Xinghua Zheng
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