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Related papers: Explosive Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes

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We study multi-type Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional reproduction laws using various analytical tools like contour process, spinal representation, Perron-Frobenius theorem for countable matrices, renewal theory. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-14 Serik Sagitov

We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on a multidimensional lattice with two types of particles and an infinite number of initial particles. The main results are devoted to the study of the generating function and the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Iu. Makarova , D. Balashova , S. Molchanov , E. Yarovaya

The Bivariate Dynamic Contagion Processes (BDCP) are a broad class of bivariate point processes characterized by the intensities as a general class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. The BDCP describes a rich dynamic structure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-23 Angelos Dassios , Xin Dong

Supercritical branching processes in constant environment conditioned on eventual extinction are known to be subcritical branching processes. The case of random environment is more subtle. A supercritical branching diffusion in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Martin Hutzenthaler

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process $(\mathcal Z_t^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$. Nerman's celebrated law of large numbers [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57, 365--395, 1981] states that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

The goal of this article is to contribute towards the conceptual and quantitative understanding of the evolutionary benefits for (microbial) populations to maintain a seed bank (consisting of dormant individuals) when facing fluctuating…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Jochen Blath , Felix Hermann , Martin Slowik

Recently, a first step was made by the authors towards a systematic investigation of the effect of reaction-step-size noise - uncertainty in the step size of the reaction - on the dynamics of stochastic populations. This was done by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Shay Be'er , Michael Assaf

In proliferating cell populations, adaptive changes to biochemical reactions can change a cell's division time, which in turn can change the population size. However, biochemical reactions are subject to noise, and therefore the conditions…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-05-06 Krishna P. Ramachandran , Motasem ElGamel , Farshid Jafarpour , Andrew Mugler

We extend our BDI (birth-death-immigration) process based stochastic model of an infectious disease to time-nonhomogeneous cases. First, we discuss the deterministic model, and derive the expected value of the infection process. Then as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Hisashi Kobayashi

In this note, we recall the definition of the binary branching model with Moran type interactions (BBMMI) introduced in [8]. In this interacting particle system, particles evolve, reproduce and die independently and, with a probability that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-31 A M G Cox , E Horton , D Villemonais

The aim of this paper is to study the large population limit of a binary branching particle system with Moran type interactions: we introduce a new model where particles evolve, reproduce and die independently and, with a probability that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Alexander M. G. Cox , Emma Horton , Denis Villemonais

This paper describes a mathematical model for the spread of a virus through an isolated population of a given size. The model uses three, color-coded components, called molecules (red for infected and still contagious; green for infected,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 Neil R. Sheeley

We consider a Markovian evolution on point processes, the $\Psi$--process, on the unit interval in which points are added according to a rule that depends only on the spacings of the existing point configuration. Having chosen a spacing, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

This paper is devoted to developing a unified framework for stochastic growth models with environmental risk, in which rare but catastrophic shocks interact with capital accumulation and pollution. The analysis is based upon a general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daria Sakhanda , Joshué Helí Ricalde-Guerrero

We study the asymptotic behavior of branching diffusion processes in periodic media. For a super-critical branching process, we distinguish two types of behavior for the normalized number of particles in a bounded domain, depending on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , James Nolen

The time it takes the fastest searcher out of $N\gg1$ searchers to find a target determines the timescale of many physical, chemical, and biological processes. This time is called an extreme first passage time (FPT) and is typically much…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Sean D Lawley

The long-term behaviors of flows of continuous-state branching processes are characterized through subordinators and extremal processes. The extremal processes arise in the case of supercritical processes with infinite mean and of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma

Consider a Crump-Mode-Jagers process generated by an increasing random walk whose increments have finite second moment. Let $Y_k(t)$ be the number of individuals in generation $k\in \mathbb N$ born in the time interval $[0,t]$. We prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko , Valeriya Kotelnikova
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