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A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-13 George Molchan

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

The study of multidimensional stochastic processes involves complex computations in intricate functional spaces. In particular, the diffusion processes, which include the practically important Gauss-Markov processes, are ordinarily defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-06 Thibaud Taillefumier , Jonathan Touboul

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

Consider a continuous random pair $(X,Y)$ whose dependence is characterized by an extreme-value copula with Pickands dependence function $A$. When the marginal distributions of $X$ and $Y$ are known, several consistent estimators of $A$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Christian Genest , Johan Segers

We prove that any asymptotics of a finite-dimensional quantum Markov processes can be formulated in the form of a generalized Jaynes principle in the discrete as well as in the continuous case. Surprisingly, we find that the open system…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-28 Jaroslav Novotný , Jiří Maryška , Igor Jex

Mean-field theories of the glass transition predict a phase transition to a dynamically arrested state, yet no such transition is observed in experiments or simulations of finite-dimensional systems. We resolve this long-standing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-12-16 Corentin C. L. Laudicina , Liesbeth M. C. Janssen , Grzegorz Szamel

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

The Pickands estimator for the extreme value index is beneficial due to its universal consistency, location, and scale invariance, which sets it apart from other types of estimators. However, similar to many extreme value index estimators,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Yizhou Li , Pawel Polak

We revisit the work of Mitter and Newton on an information-theoretic interpretation of Bayes' formula through the Gibbs variational principle. This formulation allowed them to pose nonlinear estimation for diffusion processes as a problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Maxim Raginsky

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 J. Gajda , A. Wylomanska , H. Kantz , A. V. Chechkin , G. Sikora

Turbulent wall flows offer the most direct means for understanding the effects of boundaries and viscosity on turbulent fluctuations. Available data on mean-square fluctuations in these flows show apparent contradiction with classical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-05 Xi Chen , Katepalli R. Sreenivasan

We give new and explicitly computable examples of Gibbs-non-Gibbs transitions of mean-field type, using the large deviation approach introduced in [4]. These examples include Brownian motion with small variance and related diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Frank Redig , Feijia Wang

This paper presents a synthesis on the mathematical work done on level crossings of stationary Gaussian processes, with some extensions. The main results [(factorial) moments, representation into the Wiener Chaos, asymptotic results, rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marie F. Kratz

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

Layered stable (multivariate) distributions and processes are defined and studied. A layered stable process combines stable trends of two different indices, one of them possibly Gaussian. More precisely, in short time, it is close to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 C. Houdré , R. Kawai

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

A subdiffusion problem in which the diffusion term is related to a stable stochastic process is introduced. Linear models of these systems have been studied in a general way, but non-linear models require a more specific analysis. The model…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Soveny Solís , Vicente Vergara