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Predict-then-Optimize is a framework for using machine learning to perform decision-making under uncertainty. The central research question it asks is, "How can the structure of a decision-making task be used to tailor ML models for that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Sanket Shah , Andrew Perrault , Bryan Wilder , Milind Tambe

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We address the problem of searching for a change point in an anomalous process among a finite set of M processes. Specifically, we address a composite hypothesis model in which each process generates measurements following a common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Liad Lea Didi , Tomer Gafni , Kobi Cohen

Accurately estimating the position of a wireless emitter in a multipath environment based on samples received at various base stations (in known locations) has been extensively explored in the literature. Existing approaches often assume…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-15 Asaf Afriat , Dan Raphaeli , Oded Bialer

The stationary distribution of allele frequencies under a variety of Wright--Fisher $k$-allele models with selection and parent independent mutation is well studied. However, the statistical properties of maximum likelihood estimates of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-10-12 Erkan Ozge Buzbas , Paul Joyce

Evidential-EM (E2M) algorithm is an effective approach for computing maximum likelihood estimations under finite mixture models, especially when there is uncertain information about data. In this paper we present an extension of the E2M…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-08 Kuang Zhou , Arnaud Martin , Quan Pan

This note aims to demonstrate that performing maximum-likelihood estimation for a mixture model is equivalent to minimizing over the parameters an optimal transport problem with entropic regularization. The objective is pedagogical: we seek…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-24 Titouan Vayer , Etienne Lasalle

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning, where they are used to enforce the notion of diversity in subset selection problems. Many estimators have been proposed, but surprisingly the basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet , John Urschel

In Positron Emission Tomography, movement leads to blurry reconstructions when not accounted for. Whether known a priori or estimated jointly to reconstruction, motion models are increasingly defined in continuum rather that in discrete,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Camille Pouchol , Olivier Verdier

The maximum likelihood principle is widely used in statistics, and the associated estimators often display good properties. indeed maximum likelihood estimators are guaranteed to be asymptotically efficient under mild conditions. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

We study the problem of signal source localization using received signal strength measurements. We begin by presenting verifiable geometric conditions for sensor deployment that ensure the model's asymptotic localizability. Then we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-20 Shenghua Hu , Guangyang Zeng , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang , Junfeng Wu , Biqiang Mu

A procedure for asymptotic bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates of generic estimands is developed. The estimator is realized as a plug-in estimator, where the parameter maximizes the penalized likelihood with a penalty function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Masayo Y. Hirose , Shuhei Mano

Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

Latent feature models (LFM)s are widely employed for extracting latent structures of data. While offering high, parameter estimation is difficult with LFMs because of the combinational nature of latent features, and non-identifiability is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Ryota Suzuki , Shingo Takahashi , Murtuza Petladwala , Shigeru Kohmoto

The Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM) is one of the simplest and most widely-studied supersymmetric extensions to the standard model of particle physics. Nevertheless, current data do not sufficiently constrain the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-03-13 Yashar Akrami , Pat Scott , Joakim Edsjö , Jan Conrad , Lars Bergström

We consider discrete default intensity based and logit type reduced form models for conditional default probabilities for corporate loans where we develop simple closed form approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Anand Deo , Sandeep Juneja

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a popular technique for approximating likelihoods and is often used in parameter estimation when the likelihood functions are analytically intractable. Although the use of ABC is widespread in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-29 Thomas A. Dean , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Ajay Jasra , Gareth W. Peters

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara